Study on consensus democracy model through power-sharing and Social Change in the Northern Ireland conflict

该项目旨在明确贝尔法斯特协议中的和平进程和权力分享结构的背景，并研究北方爱尔兰在贝尔法斯特协议之后的社会变化。本项目的目的之一是为世界政治冲突中的和平缔造提供可能性，并为之制定一种方法和标准。在本项目中，首先，有可能明确北方爱尔兰政治冲突中与之相关的统一主义者和民族主义者组织的政党的行为模式和政治策略。特别是，“新爱尔兰论坛”（1983-1984）对民族主义战略的权威性重述，可以被视为不是传统的民族主义解释，认为英国的存在是北方爱尔兰问题的核心，而是内部冲突的解释。第二，通过对2003年北方爱尔兰议会选举中单一可转移票选举模式和主要政党抢票政治行为模式的研究，明确了贝尔法斯特协议的方向和北方爱尔兰议会权力分享模式的背景。2003年11月26日举行的这次议会选举标志着1998年《贝尔法斯特协定》的危机。这次选举的结果似乎反映了爱尔兰北部新教与天主教之间的社区冲突，并在地理上将北方爱尔兰划分为新教/统一主义者区和天主教/民族主义者区两部分。这个项目是通过在北方爱尔兰的天主教和新教社区定期进行实地考察而建立的。今年以后，有必要继续在这方面通过实地调查获得后方资料。

This project seeks to make clear context of the peace process and structure of power-sharing in the Belfast agreement and to research social change after the Belfast agreement in Northern Ireland. It is a purpose of this project and to offer possibility of peace-making in political conflicts of the world and to develop a method and criterion for it. In this project, firstly, it was possible to make clear behavior patterns and political strategies of political parties organised by Unionist and Nationalist related in the political conflict of Northern Ireland. Especially, the authoritative restatement of the nationalist strategy presented by the "New Ireland Forum" (1983-1984) can be regarded as not traditional nationalist interpretation that sees the British presence as being at the heart of the Northern Ireland problem but rather as the internal-conflict interpretation. Secondly, 'this project made clear a direction of the Belfast agreement and context of a model of power-sharing adopted in Northern Ireland Assembly through researching a electoral model of the single transferable vote and a pattern of political behavior of major parties for vote-catching in the 2003 election of Northern Ireland Assembly. This assembly election held on 26 November 2003 marked the crisis of the 1998 Belfast Agreement. It is seemed that the result of this election reflected a communal conflict between Protestant people and Catholic people in Northei~n Ireland and geographically divided Northern Ireland into two parts between Protestant/Unionist people's area and Catholic/Nationalist people's area. This project is established' by fieldwork that is held regularly in Catholic and Protestant communities of Northern Ireland. It is necessary to continue to get rear documents through fieldwork in this area after this year.