Mathematical models of diseases with complex transmission routes

具有复杂传播途径的疾病的数学模型

• 批准号: DP180100246
• 负责人: Prof Kathryn Glass
• 金额: $ 18.63万
• 依托单位: The Australian National University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2018
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2018-06-01 至 2021-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP180100246
• 关键词: Mathematical; models; diseases; complex; transmission

This project aims to model diseases that spread via a mixture of routes including food, water, the environment, and direct spread between individuals. Key diseases include: avian influenza, which causes massive disruption to the poultry industry; gastroenteritis, which costs Australia $1,250 million each year; and leptospirosis, which causes one million severe illnesses each year globally. This project will develop mathematical and statistical tools to better estimate risk, analyse outbreak data, and provide guidance for disease control. This research will improve policy and enhance our ability to respond to disease outbreaks.

该项目旨在模拟通过多种途径传播的疾病，包括食物，水，环境和个体之间的直接传播。 主要疾病包括：禽流感对家禽业造成大规模破坏;胃肠炎每年给澳大利亚造成12.5亿美元的损失;以及细螺旋体病每年在全球造成100万人严重疾病。该项目将开发数学和统计工具，以更好地估计风险，分析疫情数据，并为疾病控制提供指导。 这项研究将改善政策，提高我们应对疾病爆发的能力。