Newton Fund: Links 2015 - Linkages between energy, food and water consumption for Brazil in the context of climate change mitigation strategies

牛顿基金：链接 2015 - 气候变化减缓战略背景下巴西能源、食品和水消耗之间的联系

• 批准号: EP/N002504/1
• 负责人: Jean-Francois Mercure
• 金额: $ 5.91万
• 依托单位: University of Cambridge
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2015 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FN002504%2F1
• 关键词: Newton; Fund; Links; 2015; Linkages

The collaborative research project combines the qualitative and quantitative research capabilities of the University of Cambridge, the Universidade do Sul de Santa Catarina, and the Pontificia Universidade Catolica de Sao Paulo to analyse the linkages between energy, food and water consumption for Brazil, in the context of climate change mitigation strategies.This project concerns developing a mid- to long-term research programme for the study of technically and legally feasible configurations of the Brazilian energy and agriculture sector in close collaboration between the UK and Brazilian partners. This project will revolve around the use of the technology and decision diffusion model methodology Future Technology Transformations (FTT), under development in Cambridge by a team of 4 researchers led Dr. J.-F. Mercure, along with the global macroeconometric model E3ME (www.e3me.com). This capacity will be linked to an internationally leading research team headed by Prof. Vinuales on political and legal analysis of energy and sustainable development policy. Among subjects of interest will be freshwater and land use changes in relation to the energy and agricultural sectors, using both the FTT modules for the energy and agricultural sectors (FTT:Power, FTT:Agriculture). The targeted analysis will include local and international food demand, trade, as well as changes in employment generated by the development of low-carbon innovations and the diffusion of new technology in both the energy and agriculture sectors. While FTT is operated by the University of Cambridge, E3ME is maintained, operated and developed by Cambridge Econometrics Ltd, who will be in charge of training the Brazilian researchers in the use of the platform E3ME-FTT.Through detailed analysis of the legal and governance contexts and their cross-sectoral impacts, the project will examine actual and prospective mitigation policies for Brazil, facilitated through close collaboration with local experts, most notably from the PUC-SP, with insights into the local challenges and opportunities. The active collaboration and the development of local analysis capabilities will provide support for capacity-building and knowledge-sharing. Enhanced understanding of the interactions between environmental and societal actions in analysed policies for Brazil could strengthen the generic basis for integration of climate action in the broader development agenda of the country.A significant part of this networking project aims at building new research capacity, through the exchange of computational tools and training, to researchers from Universidade do Sul de Santa Catarina and Pontificia Universidade Catolica de Sao Paulo, who are actively involved in engaging local policy-makers. They will learn how to use the computational platforms E3ME-FTT developed in Cambridge to study specific locally relevant issues of energy, food and water linkages for Brazil, and help devise insight relevant for policy-making. Meanwhile, the Brazilian partners will provide invaluable contextual knowledge on locally relevant issues such that the research has relevance for policy-making, which could impact livelihoods in rural areas and low-income communities.The activities of this networking project can be divided into six main categories:(1.) Coordination Meetings (2.) International Conference (3.) Training (4.) Publications (5.) Network (6.) Public AwarenessThe expected result of this networking project is to design a strong and coherent consortium of researchers covering all relevant aspects of the Energy-Water-Food nexus in the context of climate change mitigation policy in Brazil: sustainable development (economics, energy, agriculture) modelling and case studies, environmental policy and law, and a strong connection to networks in Brazil in order to ensure sustained impact.

该合作研究项目结合了剑桥大学、南圣卡塔里纳大学和圣保罗天主教大学的定性和定量研究能力，分析巴西能源、粮食和水消费之间的联系，在气候变化缓解战略的背景下，该项目涉及制定一个中长期的在英国和巴西合作伙伴的密切合作下，为研究巴西能源和农业部门在技术和法律上可行的配置而开展的长期研究方案。该项目将围绕技术和决策扩散模型方法的使用未来技术转型（FTT），由剑桥博士领导的4名研究人员组成的团队开发。F. Mercure，沿着全球宏观经济计量模型E3 ME（www.e3me.com）。这一能力将与由Vinuales教授领导的关于能源和可持续发展政策的政治和法律的分析的国际领先研究小组相联系。感兴趣的主题将是与能源和农业部门有关的淡水和土地使用变化，使用能源和农业部门的FTT模块（FTT：电力，FTT：农业）。有针对性的分析将包括地方和国际粮食需求、贸易以及低碳创新的发展和新技术在能源和农业部门的传播所产生的就业变化。FTT由剑桥大学运营，而E3 ME由剑桥计量经济学有限公司维护、运营和开发，该公司将负责培训巴西研究人员使用E3 ME-FTT平台。通过对法律的和治理环境及其跨部门影响的详细分析，该项目将研究巴西实际和未来的减缓政策，通过与当地专家的密切合作，特别是来自PUC-SP的专家，对当地挑战和机遇的见解。积极合作和发展当地分析能力将为能力建设和知识共享提供支持。在分析巴西的政策时，加强对环境和社会行动之间相互作用的理解，可以加强将气候行动纳入该国更广泛的发展议程的一般基础。南圣卡塔里纳大学和圣保罗天主教大学的研究人员，他们积极参与当地决策者的参与。他们将学习如何使用剑桥开发的E3 ME-FTT计算平台，研究巴西能源、粮食和水资源联系的具体地方相关问题，并帮助制定与决策相关的见解。与此同时，巴西的合作伙伴将提供有关当地相关问题的宝贵背景知识，使研究与政策制定相关，这可能影响农村地区和低收入社区的生计。协调会议（2.）国际会议（3.）培训（4.）出版物（5.）网络（6.）这一网络项目的预期成果是设计一个强大和协调一致的研究人员联合体，涵盖巴西气候变化减缓政策背景下能源-水-粮食关系的所有相关方面：可持续发展（经济、能源、农业）建模和案例研究、环境政策和法律，以及与巴西网络的强有力联系，以确保持续影响。

项目成果

Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil-fuel assets

搁浅的化石燃料资产对宏观经济的影响

• DOI: 10.17863/cam.22949
• 发表时间: 2018
• 作者: Mercure J

Modelling complex systems of heterogeneous agents to better design sustainability transitions policy

• DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.02.003
• 发表时间: 2015-06
• 期刊: Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions
• 影响因子: 8.9
• 作者: J. Mercure;J. Mercure;H. Pollitt;A. Bassi;J. Viñuales;N. Edwards

Climate-carbon cycle uncertainties and the Paris Agreement

• DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0197-7
• 发表时间: 2018-07-01
• 期刊: NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
• 影响因子: 30.7
• 作者: Holden, P. B.;Edwards, N. R.;Vinuales, J. E.
• 通讯作者: Vinuales, J. E.

Energy modelling and the Nexus concept

• DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2017.10.005
• 发表时间: 2018
• 期刊: Energy Strategy Reviews
• 影响因子: 8.2
• 作者: F. Brouwer;G. Avgerinopoulos;D. Fazekas;C. Laspidou;J. Mercure;H. Pollitt;E. Ramos;M. Howells

Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets

• DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0182-1
• 发表时间: 2018-07-01
• 期刊: NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
• 影响因子: 30.7
• 作者: Mercure, J. -F.;Pollitt, H.;Knobloch, F.
• 通讯作者: Knobloch, F.