Rebuilding Macroeconomics

重建宏观经济

• 批准号: ES/R00787X/1
• 负责人: Angus Armstrong
• 金额: $ 498.54万
• 依托单位: National Institute of Economic and Social Research
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2017 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FR00787X%2F1
• 关键词: Rebuilding; Macroeconomics

The need for new ideas in macroeconomics is evident. Most macroeconomists not only failed to recognise the weaknesses in the global economy before the financial crisis, their main macroeconomic model specifically excluded the possibility of financial vulnerability. Assumptions about human behaviour and how markets operate have undermined the effectiveness of macroeconomics as a guide for practical policy making. The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) is the UK's foremost macroeconomics research institute outside of the university sector. As our mission is to understand the economic forces that shape peoples' lives and to influence policy. We are free of political and commercial interests and the constraints that can inhibit university departments.Our network, Rebuilding Macroeconomics, would start the transformation of macroeconomics back into a useful policy science. We have created a team of 25 world-class social scientists from economics, psychology, anthropology, sociology, neuroscience, economic history, political science, biology and physics all renowned for challenging mainstream ideas to spear-head this effort. Rebuilding Macroeconomics will challenge the central assumptions and methods of modern macroeconomics and identify the building blocks for a new and genuinely relevant macroeconomics. Our network will create ran opportunity for scholars, policy makers and practitioners to coalesce around a substantive macroeconomic policy question and to explore, learn from and challenge each other's assumptions and ways of thinking and to consider possible new methods of investigation.The Rebuilding Macroeconomics leadership team of will provide guidance by finding broad research agendas through a process of both guidance and discovery, through dialogue across the UK, that (a) directly address important macroeconomic policy issues, (b) facilitate research that would not be done otherwise, (c) bring new methodologies to bear in macroeconomics, and (d) that can attract enough scholars to launch and sustain an effective future research agenda. Our leadership team will commission several targeted proof-of-concept 'pilot projects' that are truly innovative, most promising and additional to existing macroeconomic research. The decisions will be taken in an open and transparent manner as befits public funds. An Advisory Group will oversee the disbursements to ensure that the projects meet our requirements listed above. The RM network will offer value for money. Most Co-Investigators have signalled their willingness to work on a pro bono basis to maximise the amount of research money available for the best ideas. The allocation of funds will be made public through a transparent process. NIESR will ensure that the Network engages with the public through social and traditional media. We will use podcasts and an App to describe the 'pilot projects' and reconnect with the public through a series of televised or recorded lively debates on key macroeconomic issues that define our research agenda. The Network will also engage with other networks in the UK and overseas to ensure as wide as possible influence and to achieve synergies with existing ESRC investments. The team will ensure that the Network is sustainable by engaging with student groups and doctoral students and catalysing innovative and interdisciplinary ideas for policy relevant research. We will look to incorporate some the most promising ideas in school and college curriculums.At the end of the funding period, the leadership team will carry out a comprehensive review and deliver a roadmap for future macroeconomic research. This will include an analysis of the areas of greatest research potential, greatest policy relevance and the bottlenecks to be overcome to realise the full potential. Given the current exceptional economic circumstances, the Network has the opportunity to have a far-reaching and very positive impact on society.

宏观经济学需要新的思想是显而易见的。大多数宏观经济学家不仅没有认识到金融危机前全球经济的弱点，他们的主要宏观经济模型还特别排除了金融脆弱性的可能性。关于人类行为和市场如何运作的假设削弱了宏观经济学作为实际决策指南的有效性。英国国家经济与社会研究所（NIESR）是英国大学以外最重要的宏观经济研究机构。因为我们的使命是了解影响人们生活和影响政策的经济力量。我们摆脱了政治和商业利益，也摆脱了可能束缚大学各系的种种限制。我们的网络--重建宏观经济学--将开始把宏观经济学重新转变为一门有用的政策科学。我们已经创建了一个由25名世界级社会科学家组成的团队，他们来自经济学，心理学，人类学，社会学，神经科学，经济史，政治学，生物学和物理学，他们都以挑战主流思想而闻名，以带头这项工作。重建宏观经济学将挑战现代宏观经济学的核心假设和方法，并确定新的和真正相关的宏观经济学的基石。我们的网络将为学者、政策制定者和实践者创造机会，围绕实质性的宏观经济政策问题进行联合，探索、学习和挑战彼此的假设和思维方式，并考虑可能的新研究方法。重建宏观经济学领导团队将通过指导和发现的过程，找到广泛的研究议程，提供指导，通过在英国的对话，（a）直接解决重要的宏观经济政策问题，（B）促进研究，否则不会这样做，（c）带来新的方法来承担宏观经济学，（d）可以吸引足够的学者启动和维持一个有效的未来研究议程。我们的领导团队将委托几个有针对性的概念验证“试点项目”，这些项目是真正创新的，最有前途的，是对现有宏观经济研究的补充。这些决定将以适合公共基金的公开和透明的方式作出。一个咨询小组将监督付款情况，以确保这些项目符合我们上述的要求。RM网络将提供物有所值的服务。大多数共同研究者表示，他们愿意无偿工作，以最大限度地提高最佳创意的研究资金。资金的分配将通过透明的程序公开。NIESR将确保该网络通过社交和传统媒体与公众互动。我们将使用播客和应用程序来描述“试点项目”，并通过一系列电视或记录的关于定义我们研究议程的关键宏观经济问题的生动辩论与公众重新建立联系。该网络还将与英国和海外的其他网络合作，以确保尽可能广泛的影响力，并与现有的ESRC投资实现协同效应。该小组将通过与学生团体和博士生接触，促进政策相关研究的创新和跨学科想法，确保该网络的可持续性。我们将把一些最有前途的想法纳入学校和大学的研讨会。在资助期结束时，领导团队将进行全面审查，并为未来的宏观经济研究提供路线图。这将包括分析最具研究潜力的领域、最具政策相关性的领域以及为充分发挥潜力而需要克服的瓶颈。鉴于目前特殊的经济情况，该网络有机会对社会产生深远和非常积极的影响。

项目成果

"Towards a Normative Theory of Systemic (Financial) Risk", Rebuilding Macroeconomics Working Paper 21

“迈向系统性（金融）风险的规范理论”，重建宏观经济学工作论文 21

• 发表时间: 2020
• 作者: Baker A

Theory and empirics of capability accumulation: implications for macroeconomic modelling

能力积累的理论和经验：对宏观经济模型的影响

• 发表时间: 2020
• 作者: Aisleitner M

Six Decades of Economic Research at the Bank of England

英格兰银行六年的经济研究

• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: History of Political Economy
• 影响因子: 0.7
• 作者: Acosta J

Verbal interaction in a social dilemma

社交困境中的言语互动

• DOI: 10.1177/10434631221094555
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Rationality and Society
• 影响因子: 1
• 作者: Adams Z

To change or not to change. The evolution of forecasting models at the Bank of England

改变还是不改变。

• 发表时间: 2024
• 期刊: Journal of Economic Methodology
• 影响因子: 1.2
• 作者: Aurélien Goutsmedt;F. Sergi;Béatrice Cherrier;Juan Acosta;Clément Fontan;François Claveau
• 通讯作者: François Claveau