A Country Divided? Polarisation and identity after Brexit

国家分裂?

基本信息

项目摘要

The EU referendum left Britain a politically divided country: 'Leavers' and 'Remainers' became new political and social identities that still shape how people view politics, and each other. Research over the last few years has demonstrated large social divisions along Brexit lines and a partial realignment of British party politics. Yet we still know very little about what shapes and reinforces these new Brexit identities: why are these identities so central for some people, but tangential for others? And are these identities fading, or changing in nature, now that Britain has left the EU? Understanding and addressing the consequences of Brexit polarisation requires knowledge of its foundations. The greater the resilience of these identities, the greater the potential negative effects on democratic dialogue and legitimacy. To the extent that Brexit identities are rooted in a deeper societal divide about cultural values, such polarisation may persist far into the future, even as the meaning of the labels grows ever more obscure. Equally, now that Britain has left the EU and other issues have grown in importance, it also seems reasonable to expect that these identities may become less important to most people. Either way, we need to understand how these identities change, and crucially we need to know who remains attached to their Brexit identity. As little is known about how new political identities emerge and evolve, Brexit provides an important case for understanding the development of political group attachments. Ultimately, we therefore want to provide new fundamental insights into the nature of political identities and how these identities change. Our core argument is that to understand the long-term impact of Brexit divisions on British society, it is not sufficient, although it is clearly necessary, to simply track how many people identify as 'Leavers' and 'Remainers'. Knowing the size of these groups is important, but we also need to track the strength, and emotional intensity, of these identities, and assess what affects how these identities alter over time. First, we are interested in how material self-interest affects identity change. To this end, we want to examine how real-world changes, specifically focused on people who we know are better off or worse off because of Brexit, affect political identities. Second, we want to apply insights from social psychology about the role of fundamental personality traits in shaping identity attachment and resilience. We do not intend to use personality traits to explain who is on one side or the other, but rather we will use these traits to explain identity retention and identity strength. Finally, we know that affective polarisation is related to 'filter bubbles' and 'echo chambers' as people become unwilling to engage (in person or online) with people from the other side. We therefore also want to explore how identities are retained, and again become entrenched, via the homogeneity of social, geographical and social media networks.Empirically, we plan to answer these questions using a wide variety of state-of-art methods, including survey experiments, lab experiments, repeated cross-sectional surveys and panel surveys. Our results will contribute not only to the discussion about British society and politics after Brexit, but also to more fundamental debates on political identities and democracy. In terms of the 'Governance after Brexit' Call, our project directly addresses two of the Priority Areas, primarily (2) 'UK economy and society 'after Brexit' (Leave/Remain identities)', but also (3) 'The constitution, politics and policy 'after Brexit' (impact on political parties and democracy)'.
脱欧公投使英国成为一个政治分裂的国家:“脱欧者”和“留欧者”成为新的政治和社会身份,仍然影响着人们对政治和彼此的看法。过去几年的研究表明,英国脱欧沿线出现了巨大的社会分歧,英国政党政治也出现了部分调整。然而,我们仍然对是什么塑造和强化了这些新的英国退欧身份知之甚少:为什么这些身份对一些人来说如此重要,但对另一些人来说却无关紧要?既然英国已经离开欧盟,这些身份是在消失,还是在本质上发生了变化?理解和解决英国退欧两极分化的后果需要了解其基础。这些身份的复原力越强,对民主对话和合法性的潜在负面影响就越大。在某种程度上,英国退欧的身份认同植根于更深层次的文化价值观社会分歧,这种两极分化可能会持续到未来很久,即使标签的含义变得越来越模糊。同样,既然英国已经离开欧盟,其他问题也变得越来越重要,那么我们也有理由认为,这些身份对大多数人来说可能变得不那么重要了。无论哪种方式,我们都需要了解这些身份是如何变化的,至关重要的是,我们需要知道谁仍然坚持他们的英国退欧身份。由于人们对新的政治身份如何出现和演变知之甚少,英国脱欧为理解政治团体依恋的发展提供了一个重要案例。因此,我们最终希望为政治身份的性质以及这些身份如何变化提供新的基本见解。我们的核心论点是,要了解英国脱欧对英国社会的长期影响,仅仅跟踪有多少人认为是“离开者”和“留欧者”是不够的,尽管这显然是必要的。了解这些群体的规模很重要,但我们还需要跟踪这些身份的强度和情感强度,并评估是什么影响了这些身份随时间的变化。首先,我们感兴趣的是物质自我利益如何影响身份的改变。为此,我们希望研究现实世界的变化,特别是我们知道因为英国退欧而变得更好或更糟的人,如何影响政治身份。第二,我们希望运用社会心理学的见解,了解基本人格特质在塑造身份依恋和弹性方面的作用。我们不打算用人格特质来解释谁站在一边或另一边,而是用这些特质来解释身份保持和身份强度。最后,我们知道情感极化与“过滤气泡”和“回音室”有关,因为人们变得不愿意(亲自或在线)与来自另一边的人接触。因此,我们也想探索身份是如何通过社会、地理和社交媒体网络的同质性得以保留并再次巩固的。从经验上讲,我们计划使用各种最先进的方法来回答这些问题,包括调查实验、实验室实验、重复的横截面调查和面板调查。我们的研究结果不仅有助于讨论英国脱欧后的英国社会和政治,也有助于对政治身份和民主进行更根本的辩论。在“英国脱欧后的治理”呼吁方面,我们的项目直接解决了两个优先领域,主要是(2)“英国脱欧后的英国经济和社会”(脱欧/留欧身份识别),以及(3)“英国脱欧后的宪法,政治和政策”(对政党和民主的影响)。

项目成果

期刊论文数量(5)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
Brexit as an Identity: Political Identities and Policy Norms
英国脱欧作为一种身份:政治身份和政策规范
  • DOI:
    10.1017/s1049096523000367
  • 发表时间:
    2023
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Tilley J
  • 通讯作者:
    Tilley J
Losers' consent and emotions in the aftermath of the Brexit referendum
英国脱欧公投后失败者的同意和情绪
  • DOI:
    10.1080/01402382.2023.2168945
  • 发表时间:
    2023
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    4.2
  • 作者:
    Tilley J
  • 通讯作者:
    Tilley J
The Polarizing Effect of Partisan Echo Chambers
党派回声室的极化效应
The Polls-Trends
民意调查趋势
  • DOI:
    10.1093/poq/nfab051
  • 发表时间:
    2021
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    3.4
  • 作者:
    Hobolt S
  • 通讯作者:
    Hobolt S
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Sara Hobolt其他文献

Turkey in the EU?: How cultural and economic frames affect support for Turkish accession
  • DOI:
    10.1057/cep.2011.27
  • 发表时间:
    2011-11-28
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    2.200
  • 作者:
    Claes H de Vreese;Wouter van der Brug;Sara Hobolt
  • 通讯作者:
    Sara Hobolt

Sara Hobolt的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Sara Hobolt', 18)}}的其他基金

What "Brexit Means Brexit" Means to Citizens
“英国脱欧意味着英国脱欧”对公民意味着什么
  • 批准号:
    ES/R000573/1
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 资助金额:
    $ 48.49万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Perceptions of Power: Voter Attribution of Responsibility within the European Union
对权力的看法:欧盟内部选民的责任归属
  • 批准号:
    ES/G009635/1
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 48.49万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant

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