Identifying a package of cost-effective interventions to address non-communicable diseases in Gaza

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Long term diseases are increasing worldwide, including in developing countries, resulting in a huge economic and health burden to society. While there are known policies and interventions to prevent and control long term diseases, these may not be applicable in settings exposed to prolonged armed conflict, such as Gaza. It is therefore important to understand which policies could best work in these situations to minimise the harm long term diseases cause to societies.This research will involve conducting a household survey of the population in Gaza in order to understand the types of long term diseases experienced (e.g. diabetes, heart disease) as well as their risk factors (e.g. smoking, unhealthy diet). The data from this household survey will inform a statistical model, which will predict how long term diseases and their risk factors will change over time depending on the policies that governments and other agencies implement in Gaza. This modelling component will test different scenarios under different conditions, such as siege, blockage, armed conflict, and restrictions to farming and imports, and will aim to identify set of value for money and feasible interventions best suited to the population of Gaza.