Transformation and resilience on urban coasts

转型为在现有系统产生脆弱性和危险或无法防止系统故障的情况下与风险共存提供了新的机会。在一个风险越来越多地与城市联系在一起的世界里，城市越来越多地在沿海发展，TRUC专注于六个沿海大城市的发展，风险，复原力和转型之间的关系：加尔各答，拉各斯，伦敦，纽约，上海和东京。TRUC将与利益攸关方合作，建立一个原创的、综合的、参与性的框架，首先确定生物物理、土地使用和决策过程之间的相互作用。其目的是揭示系统相互作用制约或开启复原力或转型机会的途径和权衡，以及这些结果本身如何相互作用和影响可持续发展; TRUC通过将城市生物物理模型（SUEWS）与世界风险指数（WRI）相结合，满足了更加综合的科学为政策提供信息的需求，由PI财团开发。这为过去的投资增加了相当大的价值，并在相对较短的时间内提供了可观的研究收益。研究将具有社区级别的分辨率，并在全市范围内进行。建模和分析过程具有灵活性，以适应不同的数据和利益攸关方的可用性。当地小组将负责数据采集，并与利益攸关方联络，以帮助提出当地问题，确保有效传播。该联盟包括自然和社会科学家，每个合作伙伴将参与概念或方法和案例研究。研究将为气专委第五次评估报告内关于发展途径和情景的国际科学讨论提供投入（三名联合体成员是第五次评估报告的作者）。该项目将是IGBP-IHDP项目“沿海区陆地和海洋的相互作用”的旗舰研究，其中包括三名科学指导委员会成员。

Transformation opens new opportunities for living with risk where existing systems generate vulnerability and hazard, or where preventing systems failure is impossible. In a world where risk is increasingly associated with cities, and cities increasingly growing on the coast, TRUC is focussed on the relationships between development, risk, resilience and transformation in six coastal megacities: Kolkata, Lagos, London, New York, Shanghai and Tokyo. TRUC will build an original, integrated, participatory framework in collaboration with stakeholders to first characterise and then identify interactions between bio-physical, land-use and decisionmaking processes. The aim is to reveal the pathways and trade-offs through which systems interactions constrain or open opportunities for resilience or transformation and how these outcomes themselves interact and influence sustainable development; offering scope for considerable theoretical, methodological and practical advancement.TRUC meets the need for more integrated science to inform policy by combining an urban biophysical model (SUEWS) with the WorldRiskIndex (WRI), developed by consortium PIs. This adds considerable value to past investments as well as offering substantial research gains over a relatively short period. Research will have neighbourhood level resolution and be city-wide. Flexibility is built into the modelling and analysis process to accommodate divergent data and stakeholder availability. Local teams will head-up data acquisition and liaise with stakeholders to help frame local questions and ensure effective dissemination. The consortium includes natural and social scientists and each partner will be involved in conceptual or methodological and case study research. Research will feed into international scientific discussion on development pathways and scenarios within the IPCC, AR5 (three consortium members are authors in AR5). The project will be a flagship research for the IGBP-IHDP project Land Ocean Interaction on the Coastal Zone with three scientific steering committee members included.