SIRENA (Strategic Impact of Research Engaging NEMO Applications)

全球模式在表示海洋动力学和环流方面已经达到了非常现实的水平。通过战略性地将高性能计算（HPC）和国家能力（NC）集中在高分辨率、全球尺度的建模上，NERC将英国置于欧洲海洋建模工作的前沿。这项投资将继续带来科学红利，但NERC也处于一个绝佳的位置，可以通过利用它来应对与未来社会和商业需求相关的挑战，从中提取附加值。在SIRENA中，我们建议利用NERC的NC建模工作的现有产出，以及通过其他研究项目的现有联系，来解决与现代经济的食品和能源部门相关的两个这样的需求。其中第一个问题涉及所谓的海洋热点，即气候变化高于平均水平可能对海洋资源造成严重后果的地区，而第二个问题涉及石油和天然气活动范围的扩大，包括向更深的海洋水域扩展。在这两种情况下，都需要在延长开采和减轻影响之间进行重大权衡，而这两种情况之间当前和潜在的重叠又使情况更加复杂。实际上，SIRENA将开展一项个案研究，向潜在的新用户社区展示海洋模型的进展，并说明这种模型在环境风险评估中的应用。选定的案例研究将集中在一个区域（很可能在巴西周围），该区域既是海洋热点，也是石油和天然气利益相关者感兴趣的区域，进一步的目标是强调这两个不同活动的重叠需求和利益，以及潜在的合作。为了实现这些目标，SIRENA被组织成四个工作包。第一个组织了一个与选定的石油和天然气利益相关者的初步研讨会，以优化案例研究的框架，然后将在国际“海洋商业”展览会上进行展示。第二个项目将利用现有模型的输出为特定的海洋热点提供详细的物理和生物地球化学/生态预测，并将于2015年在巴西举行的第三届气候变化影响研讨会上展示这一成果。第三个项目将利用正在进行的GULLS方案，提供一个讲习班论坛，在当地利益攸关方的协助下，将本次专题讨论会上展示的NERC模型产出（例如，变化循环、生物地球化学）转化为与政策有关的产出。最后的工作包将利用从个案研究中获得的经验来编制一个模板，该模板将适用于构成国际海鸥联盟方案基础的所有南半球海洋热点地区。SIRENA的核心驱动动机是，这些多样化的活动将提高NERC世界级建模工作的意识，并鼓励传统上没有与NERC中心合作，但代表关键资源和商业利益的利益相关者在增值活动中使用它们。在SIRENA的愿景中，以这种方式扩大NERC参与的基础对于这些重要的科学在未来保持可行性至关重要。

Global models have reached an exceptional level of realism in representing ocean dynamics and circulation. By strategically focusing High Performance Computing (HPC) and National Capability (NC) on high resolution, global-scale modelling, NERC has placed the UK at the forefront of ocean modelling efforts in Europe. This investment will continue to pay scientific dividends, but NERC is also in an excellent position to extract added value from it by employing it in tackling challenges related to future societal and business needs. In SIRENA, we propose to utilise existing outputs from NERC's NC modelling efforts, as well as existing links through other research programmes, to address two such needs related to the food and energy sectors of modern economies. The first of these relates to so-called marine hotspots, areas where above average climate change may have serious consequences for marine resources, while the second concerns the expanding sphere of oil and gas activities, including to deeper ocean waters. In both of these cases, there are significant trade-offs between the need to extend exploitation while mitigating impacts, and this is compounded by the current and potential overlaps between both cases. In practical terms, SIRENA will develop a case study that demonstrate advances in ocean modelling to potential new user communities, and illustrate the applications of this modelling for environmental risk assessment. The selected case study will focus on a single region (most likely around Brazil) that is both a marine hotspot and is of interest to oil and gas stakeholders, and a further aim is to underscore the overlapping needs and interests, as well as potential collaborations, of these two otherwise divergent activities. To achieve these ends, SIRENA is organised into four workpackages. The first organises an initial workshops with select oil and gas stakeholders to optimise the framing of the case study, which will then be demonstrated at the international "Ocean Business" exhibition. The second will use existing model output to provide a detailed physical and biogeochemical/ecological forecast for a specific marine hotspot, and will showcase this at the 3rd Symposium on the Effects of Climate Change in Brazil in 2015. The third will leverage an ongoing programme, GULLS, to provide a workshop forum for translating the NERC modelling outputs demonstrated at this symposium (e.g. changing circulation, biogeochemistry) into policy-relevant outputs with the assistance of local stakeholders. The final workpackage will use the experiences derived from the case study to produce a template that will be applied to all of the southern hemisphere marine hotspots that form the basis of the international GULLS programme. The central, driving motivation in SIRENA is that these diverse activities will promote awareness of NERC's world-class modelling efforts and encourage their use in added-value activities by stakeholders that have not traditionally been engaged with NERC centres, but who represent key resource and business interests. In SIRENA's vision, broadening the base of NERC's engagement in this way is critical for such important science to remain viable into the future.