Integrated assessment of the emission-health-socioeconomics nexus and air pollution mitigation solutions and interventions in Beijing (INHANCE)

北京排放-健康-社会经济关系以及空气污染缓解解决方案和干预措施的综合评估（INHANCE）

• 批准号: NE/N00714X/1
• 负责人: Dabo Guan
• 金额: $ 87.39万
• 依托单位: University of East Anglia
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2016 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FN00714X%2F1
• 关键词: Integrated; assessment; emission; health; socioeconomics

China's rapid industrialisation and urbanisation has been accompanied by large increases in air pollution. In recognition of the health and socio-economic issues associated with this China's State Council authorized a 1.75 trillion Yuan investment package: the Air Pollution Prevention Plan (the Plan).Our project, INHANCE, will: i) evidence the socio-economic efficacy of "the Plan" and, moving forward, ii) deliver an evidence based, effective, equitable and integrated intervention and management plan for air pollution mitigation in the Chinese megacity, Beijing. Through the engagement of its internationally leading research team INHANCE is very well placed to achieve these goals and with high-level involvement (Deputy Chief Scientist) from CRAES, (major drafters of Pollution Prevention and Control Law in China), we are well-poised to realise maximum impact from our research. INHANCE embraces ODA priorities by: i) promoting the economic development and welfare of a transitional China as its main objective; ii) ensuring long-term sustainable improvements to air quality in Beijing (transferable to other megacites); iii) building capacity in skills and knowledge, and; iv) supporting sustained development of research that will result in welfare enhancement and economic growth. The UK contribution in areas of environmental economics, UK air pollution abatement and air-quality renewable energy interactions represent clear engagement of UK research strength to realise ODA priorities. As an 'enabler' project INHANCE will promote synergies and opportunities across the whole program and through the INHANCE 'Champions' (see Case) will lead the engagement with Themes 1-3, and ensure the delivery of integrated science-based policy evaluation and design.Central to the INHANCE approach is a strong commitment to across program communication (WP1). Toward these ends an Executive Committee, in consultation with the program administration, will map INHANCE expertise to Themes 1-3. Two-way internal- and external-facing communication mechanisms will be implemented to foster an interdisciplinary environment. INHANCE will deliver a quantitative performance assessment of China's current air pollution policies wherein the effectiveness of current anti-air pollution measures will be 'scored' (WP2). This scoring will be based upon pollutant inventories, atmospheric chemistry models (PKU-V3 / WRF-Chem), emission and economic performance of energy structure optimization, and, evaluation of end-of-pipe control measures. The nexus among emission-health (physical and mental)-socioeconomic-energy impacts is central to the INHANCE research agenda (WP3). In order to interrogate this nexus INHANCE will establish and evaluate interactive relationships among exposure, vulnerability, impact on health, implications for industry and economic consequences. This WP will focus upon: air quality and renewable energy interactions; air pollution exposure and health impacts for low income population groups; measuring air pollution induced mental health impact; pollution footprint analysis - direct and indirect economic costs associated with physical and mental health losses, and; an estimation of the health burden associated with final consumption and trade. In its conclusion, INHANCE will deliver recommendations regarding integrated policy design and deliver an assessment for policy cost-effectiveness. To achieve this INHANCE will: compare and qualitatively assess air quality policies between Beijing and other cities; engage with Themes 1-3 and other relevant stakeholders to prescribe air pollution abatement trajectories; undertake policy performance assessment modelling; utilise techno-economic inventories for anti-pollution measures to conduct micro cost-benefit analysis of new policies; measure health and macroeconomic costs and benefits in mitigating air pollution, and; transform evidence generated into practical emission alleviation pathways.

中国的快速工业化和城市化伴随着空气污染的大幅增加。考虑到与此相关的健康和社会经济问题，中国国务院批准了一项1.75万亿元的一揽子投资计划：大气污染防治计划。我们的项目INHANCE将：i)证明“计划”的社会经济效益，并展望未来，ii)提供一个基于证据的、有效的、公平的和综合的干预和管理计划，以缓解中国特大城市北京的空气污染。通过其国际领先的研究团队的参与，INHANCE处于非常有利的地位来实现这些目标，并有中国环境科学研究院(中国污染防治法主要起草人中国)的高层参与(副首席科学家)，我们已经做好了充分准备，以实现我们的研究的最大影响。INHANCE接受官方发展援助的优先事项是：i)促进过渡时期中国的经济发展和福利，将其作为主要目标；ii)确保北京空气质量的长期可持续改善(可转移到其他特大城市)；iii)建设技能和知识能力；以及iv)支持可持续发展的研究，以提高福利和促进经济增长。英国在环境经济、英国减少空气污染和空气质量可再生能源互动领域的贡献表明，英国的研究力量明确参与了实现官方发展援助优先事项的工作。作为一个“推动者”项目，INHANCE将在整个计划中促进协同效应和机会，并通过INHANCE“冠军”(见案例)领导主题1-3的参与，并确保交付基于科学的综合政策评估和设计。INHANCE方法的核心是对跨计划沟通(WP1)的坚定承诺。为此，执行委员会将与项目管理部门协商，将增强的专业知识映射到主题1-3。实行内外双向沟通机制，营造跨学科环境。INHANCE将对中国当前的空气污染政策进行量化绩效评估，其中将对当前防治空气污染措施的有效性进行“评分”(WP2)。这一评分将基于污染物清单、大气化学模型(PKU-V3/WRF-Chem)、能源结构优化的排放和经济绩效，以及对管道末端控制措施的评估。排放-健康(身体和精神)-社会经济-能源影响之间的关系是改进研究议程(WP3)的核心。为了探究这种联系，INHANCE将建立和评估暴露、脆弱性、对健康的影响、对工业的影响和经济后果之间的互动关系。本工作方案将侧重于：空气质量和可再生能源的相互作用；低收入人口群体的空气污染暴露和健康影响；衡量空气污染对心理健康的影响；污染足迹分析--与身体和心理健康损失相关的直接和间接经济成本；以及与最终消费和贸易相关的健康负担的估计。在其结论中，INHANCE将就综合政策设计提出建议，并对政策成本效益进行评估。为实现这一目标，北京将：比较和定性评估北京与其他城市之间的空气质量政策；与主题1-3和其他相关利益攸关方合作，制定空气污染缓解轨迹；进行政策绩效评估模型；利用防治污染措施的技术经济清单，对新政策进行微观成本效益分析；衡量健康和宏观经济成本，以及缓解空气污染的效益；将产生的证据转化为实际的减排路径。

项目成果

SESAME: Exploring small businesses' behaviour to enhance resilience to flooding

SESAME：探索小企业的行为以增强抵御洪水的能力

• DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/20160708011
• 发表时间: 2016
• 期刊: E3S Web of Conferences
• 作者: Coates G

Citizen perception of APEC blue and air pollution management

• DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.116853
• 发表时间: 2019-10-01
• 期刊: ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT
• 影响因子: 5
• 作者: Brimblecombe, Peter;Zong, Huixin
• 通讯作者: Zong, Huixin

Determinants of global CO2 emissions growth

全球二氧化碳排放增长的决定因素

• DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.06.142
• 发表时间: 2016-12-15
• 期刊: APPLIED ENERGY
• 影响因子: 11.2
• 作者: Jiang, Xuemei;Guan, Dabo
• 通讯作者: Guan, Dabo

Assessment of electrical vehicles as a successful driver for reducing CO2 emissions in China

• DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.06.042
• 发表时间: 2016-12-15
• 期刊: APPLIED ENERGY
• 影响因子: 11.2
• 作者: Hofmann, Jana;Guan, Dabo;Huo, Hong
• 通讯作者: Huo, Hong

Structural decline in China's CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems

通过产业和能源体系转型，中国二氧化碳排放结构性下降

• DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0161-1
• 发表时间: 2018-08-01
• 期刊: NATURE GEOSCIENCE
• 影响因子: 18.3
• 作者: Guan, Dabo;Meng, Jing;Davis, Steven J.
• 通讯作者: Davis, Steven J.