Playing Games to Understand Multiple Hazards and Risk from Climate Change on Interdependent Infrastructure.

通过玩游戏来了解气候变化对相互依赖的基础设施造成的多种危害和风险。

• 批准号: NE/R009023/1
• 负责人: Simon Tett
• 金额: $ 6.43万
• 依托单位: University of Edinburgh
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2017 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FR009023%2F1
• 关键词: Playing; Games; Understand; Multiple; Hazards

Project Partners: Transport Scotland, Scottish Water, SGN, SEPA, Inverclyde Council, National Centre for Resilience, Climate Ready Clyde, Adaptation Scotland/SNIFFER a) Our objective is to develop a game based approach to understand climate change impacts and adaptation on interdependent infrastructures. Using Inverclyde as a case-study, we will develop a transferable approach that identifies local scale interactions and interdependencies, and allows diverse infrastructure partners to jointly think of adaptation solutions.b) Inverclyde is a local authority in the west of the Greater Glasgow region. The urban coastal strip forms a vulnerable corridor. Our project will bring together major infrastructure partners (Transport Scotland, Scottish Water, SGN), with regional partners (Clydeplan, Inverclyde Council), SEPA and national knowledge brokers (Adaptation Scotland, National Resilience Centre) in a 6 month project that focuses on using a game to develop a shared understanding of key multi-hazard risks to infrastructure in the region due to climate change. c) Despite increasing capability to assess specific climate risks to infrastructure, our partners need to better understand vulnerability of infrastructure systems to climate-influenced environmental risks, and key interdependencies between them. Key challenges identified include: (1) translating climate projections into impacts on infrastructure - in particular with event succession, cumulative effects, long-term stresses, and/or multiple hazards; (2) identifying key location hotspots where there is a high multi-operator composite risk that may not be recognised by current practice; (3) understanding interdependencies between infrastructures operations, including varying resilience levels in regulation and license conditions; (4) considering impact of services provided by infrastructures and the socio-economic implications of service degradation or failure. d) At the end of the project, our partners will have: (1) an improved understanding of why and when service interruptions may occur; (2) an improved understanding of the interactions between multiple infrastructure networks; (3) identified key hotspots where the greater risk may not be currently recognised; (4) identified key risks; and (5) access to a game approach for identifying key risks. e) We plan a 6 month project employing one PDRA and contracting out design and development of the card game component. The total cost of the project is £50,777.45 at 80% FEC (£62,596.81 at 100% FEC).

项目合作伙伴：苏格兰交通局、苏格兰水务局、SGN、SEPA、Inverclyde理事会、国家韧性中心、气候准备克莱德、适应苏格兰/SNIFFER a）我们的目标是开发一种基于游戏的方法，以了解气候变化对相互依存的基础设施的影响和适应。以Inverclyde为案例研究，我们将开发一种可转移的方法，识别当地规模的相互作用和相互依赖性，并允许不同的基础设施合作伙伴共同思考适应解决方案。B）Inverclyde是大格拉斯哥地区西部的地方当局。城市沿海地带形成了一个脆弱的走廊。我们的项目将汇集主要的基础设施合作伙伴（苏格兰交通局，苏格兰水务局，SGN），与区域合作伙伴（Clydeplan，Inverclyde理事会），SEPA和国家知识经纪人（适应苏格兰，国家复原力中心）在一个为期6个月的项目中，重点是使用游戏来发展对该地区基础设施的关键多灾害风险的共同理解。c）尽管评估基础设施特定气候风险的能力不断提高，但我们的合作伙伴需要更好地了解基础设施系统对气候影响的环境风险的脆弱性，以及它们之间的关键相互依赖性。查明的主要挑战包括：（1）将气候预测转化为对基础设施的影响-特别是事件连续性、累积效应、长期压力和/或多种灾害;（2）确定关键地点热点，其中存在可能无法通过当前实践识别的高多运营商综合风险;（3）了解基础设施运营之间的相互依赖性，包括监管和许可条件中不同的弹性水平;（4）考虑基础设施提供的服务的影响以及服务退化或故障的社会经济影响。d）在项目结束时，我们的合作伙伴将：（1）更好地了解服务中断的原因和时间;（2）更好地了解多个基础设施网络之间的相互作用;（3）确定目前可能无法识别较大风险的关键热点;（4）确定关键风险;（5）使用博弈方法来识别关键风险。e）我们计划一个为期6个月的项目，使用一个PDRA，并将纸牌游戏组件的设计和开发外判。该项目的总成本为50，777.45英镑，80% FEC（62，596.81英镑，100% FEC）。

项目成果

Understanding Interdependent Climate Change Risks Using a Serious Game

通过严肃的游戏了解相互依存的气候变化风险

• DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0177.1
• 发表时间: 2020
• 期刊: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
• 影响因子: 8
• 作者: Undorf S

Extreme rainfall risk and climate change impact assessment for Edinburgh World Heritage sites

爱丁堡世界遗产地的极端降雨风险和气候变化影响评估

• DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2440
• 发表时间: 2023
• 作者: O'Neill S

How much has urbanisation affected United Kingdom temperatures?

• DOI: 10.1002/asl.896
• 发表时间: 2019-03
• 期刊: Atmospheric Science Letters
• 影响因子: 3
• 作者: Ian L. M. Goddard;S. Tett

Learning from the 2018 heatwave in the context of climate change: are high-temperature extremes important for adaptation in Scotland?

• DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6999
• 发表时间: 2020-03
• 期刊: Environmental Research Letters
• 影响因子: 6.7
• 作者: Sabine Undorf;Kathleen M. S. Allen;Joseph Hagg;Sihan Li;F. Lott;M. Metzger;S. Sparrow;S. Tett