Dynamical downscaling of western and eastern Canada hydroclimate

加拿大西部和东部水文气候的动态降尺度

• 批准号: 403886-2010
• 负责人: Weaver, Andrew
• 金额: $ 10.48万
• 依托单位: University of Victoria
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2013-01-01 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=529771
• 关键词: Dynamical; downscaling; western; eastern; Canada

A regional climate model (RCM) driven by multiple members of two CGCMs (namely the Canadian CGCM3 and the German ECHAM5) will be integrated on two very high-resolution (15 km by 15 km) domains (one for each of western and eastern Canada) from 1950-2100 to generate a multi-model multi-member ensemble of very high-resolution regional climate projections. We will initially focus our attention on quantifying uncertainty associated with projected 21st century changes in water availability, variability and extremes for use in energy planning. Through partnership with BC Hydro (BCH), Hydro-Québec, Rio Tinto Alcan (RTA), the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) and Ouranos, we will create an unprecedented database of high-resolution projections of 21st century climate change for Canada.

由两个CGCM（即加拿大CGCM 3和德国ECHAM 5）的多个成员驱动的区域气候模式（RCM）将在1950-2100年在两个非常高分辨率（15 km × 15 km）域（加拿大西部和东部各一个）上进行集成，以生成非常高分辨率区域气候预测的多模式多成员集合。我们将首先把我们的注意力集中在量化的不确定性与预计的21世纪世纪的水的可用性，变异性和极端的变化，用于能源规划。通过与BC Hydro（BCH）、Hydro-Québec、Rio Tinto Alcan（RTA）、Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium（PCIC）和Ouranos的合作，我们将创建一个前所未有的数据库，为加拿大21世纪世纪气候变化提供高分辨率预测。