Development of operational risk management framework for marine operations in harsh environments

制定恶劣环境下海上作业的操作风险管理框架

• 批准号: 486678-2015
• 负责人: Ahmed, Salim
• 金额: $ 1.82万
• 依托单位: Memorial University of Newfoundland
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Engage Grants Program
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2015-01-01 至 2016-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=585735
• 关键词: Development; operational; risk; management; framework

Research effort devoted to the development of a holistic risk assessment and management methodology for vessel operations in harsh environment is limited. This proposal intends to initiate a new research engagement with Lloyd's Register Applied Technology Group (ATG) to develop a new risk-based methodology to support operational considerations during marine navigation or transportation in Arctic environments. Three possible ship accident scenarios in Arctic transits will be investigated: i) collision, ii) grounding, and iii) foundering. Various factors related to harsh conditions and their effects on the abovementioned accident scenarios will be considered as a part of the proposed study. The Bayesian Network (BN) approach will be used to quantify the probability of a ship accident and the related consequences during navigation in Arctic waters. Consequence assessment will be conducted based on various loss scenarios including release of toxic chemicals and/or flammable gas, fire and explosion. This innovative methodology will integrate failure-updating mechanism with consequence assessment as a ship operates and new information become available; thus the method will estimate real-time risk. The assessed risk will be integrated into a decision-making framework to support the development and implementation of safety strategies. This project will benefit the industry partner, ATG, by developing an operational risk management methodology to better monitor and control the risk of marine operations in harsh environments. ATG can further develop the outcomes of the project to make it part of its software to enhance capabilities in dynamic risk monitoring and management of vessel operational risk. New understanding and knowledge developed specifically on operational risk assessment of marine operations in Arctic waters would provide greater confidence to Canadian industry, regulator and public in safe navigation in the Northern region.

致力于开发整体风险评估和管理方法的研究工作 恶劣环境中的船只操作有限。该提案打算启动新的研究参与 借助劳埃德（Lloyd 海洋航行或北极环境中的运输过程中的操作考虑。三个可能 将研究北极过境中的船舶事故情况：i）碰撞，ii）接地和iii）创建。 与恶劣条件及其对上述事故情况的影响有关的各种因素将是 被认为是拟议研究的一部分。贝叶斯网络（BN）方法将用于量化 船舶事故的概率和北极水域导航期间的相关后果。结果 评估将根据各种损失方案进行，包括释放有毒化学物质和/或 易燃气体，火灾和爆炸。这种创新的方法将整合失败的升级机制 随着船舶运营的结果评估，新信息可用；因此该方法将 估计实时风险。评估的风险将集成到决策框架中，以支持 制定和实施安全策略。 该项目将通过开发运营风险管理来使行业合作伙伴ATG受益 更好地监控和控制恶劣环境中海洋运营风险的方法。 ATG可以 进一步发展项目的结果，以使其成为其软件的一部分，以增强动态功能 风险监测和管理船舶操作风险。开发了新的理解和知识 特别是针对北极水域海洋业务的运营风险评估将提供更大的 对加拿大工业，监管机构和公众的信心在北部地区的安全航行中。