Inflow forecasting in Yukon under current and changing climate conditions

当前和变化的气候条件下育空地区的流入预测

• 批准号: 500263-2016
• 负责人: Sawicki, Clint
• 金额: $ 4.97万
• 依托单位: Yukon College
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Applied Research and Development Grants - Level 2
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2016-01-01 至 2017-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=608006
• 关键词: Inflow; forecasting; Yukon; under; current

The objective of this project is to implement a distributed hydrological modeling system on key watersheds of the Yukon Energy Corporation (YEC) for operational reservoir-inflow forecasting with different lead times (e.g., 1-14 days) as well as seasonal and long-term planning. Long-term planning will use the modeling system to predict impacts of climate change on inflow availability, inflow timing and extreme events. Understanding climate change and associated effects will be useful to other processes such as relicensing activities. For example, the water license for the Aishihik Hydroelectric Facility will come up for renewal on December 31, 2019. In anticipation of this renewal, YEC is undertaking a four-year process of environmental and engineering studies; consulting with major stakeholders; and following a structured decision-making process to understand operational alternatives for the renewed license to submit to the Yukon Environmental and Socio-economic Assessment Board for assessment, then to the Yukon Water Board for licensing.

本项目的目标是在育空地区能源公司（YEC）的关键流域实施分布式水文模拟系统，用于不同提前期（例如，1-14天）以及季节性和长期规划。长期规划将使用建模系统来预测气候变化对流入可用性、流入时间和极端事件的影响。了解气候变化及其相关影响将有助于其他进程，如重新颁发许可证的活动。例如，Aishihik水电设施的用水许可证将于2019年12月31日更新。为迎接这一延期，育空地区委员会正在进行为期四年的环境和工程研究;与主要利益攸关方协商;并遵循一个结构化的决策过程，以了解延期许可证的业务备选方案，提交给育空地区环境和社会经济评估委员会评估，然后提交给育空地区水务委员会颁发许可证。