Quantitative modelling for Capacity Planning in Mental Health and Addictions With a Focus on Dementia

我的2019-2024年研究计划专注于开发运筹学决策支持模型，支持复杂的精神健康和成瘾(MHorInformation)中的政策制定者和规划者，服务集成有限，MHS的短期研究重点将是基于社区的精神健康服务的能力规划模型，重点是痴呆症，包括对急性和慢性护理能力的影响。长期重点将扩大到包括更广泛的MH&A行业考虑因素。 在过去的20-30年里，运筹学研究已经在急性护理保健系统中根深蒂固，并在社区和长期护理部门的影响力越来越大。我过去和现在的研究项目一直是这一变化的关键驱动因素。这项研究计划的愿景是推动MH&A产能规划模型的类似长期发展。 我打算在这个研究项目中大量使用系统动力学(SD)来制定战略政策层面的决策。通过我和其他同事的工作，SD现在是一个在急性和慢性护理环境中建模卫生系统复杂性的成熟工具，在这个计划中将扩展到MH&A。我期待这项工作的两个关键贡献： 1.扩展了学术文献的一小部分，展示了SD作为在MH&A中创建通用模型的可行工具的使用。 2.展示了对MH&A行业复杂性进行建模的能力。 我的期望是，该计划还将需要战术和操作级别的模型，使用离散事件模拟和整数编程，以优化特定应用的政策级别决策。 我希望通过这笔助学金资助一名博士生、博士后和两名硕士研究生。另外一名博士生也将在这个项目中工作，由政府机构资助。

My 2019-2024 research program focuses on developing operations research decision support models supporting policy makers and planners in the complex Mental Health and Addictions (MHormation silos with limited integration of services, and MHs short-term research focus will be on capacity planning models for community based mental health services with a focus on dementia, including impacts on acute and chronic care capacity. The long-term focus will expand to include broader MH&A sector considerations. Over the past 20-30 years operations research has become entrenched in the acute care health care system and is growing in influence in the community and long-term care sectors. My past and present research programs have been key drivers in this change. The vision of this research program is to drive similar long-term development of capacity planning models in MH&A. I intend to use System Dynamics (SD) heavily within this research program for strategic policy level decision making. Through the work of myself and other colleagues, SD is now a proven tool for modeling health system complexities in acute and chronic care environments and in this program will be extended to MH&A. I am expecting two key contributions from this work: 1. Extending the small body of academic literature, demonstrating the use of SD as a viable tool for creating generic models in MH&A. 2. Demonstrating the ability to model the complexities of the MH&A sector. My expectation is that this program will also require tactical and operational level models, using Discrete Event Simulation and Integer Programming, to optimize policy level decisions for specific applications. I expect to fund one PhD student, and post-doctoral student, and two master level students through this grant. An additional PhD student will also be working within this program, funded by a government agency.