Integrating Reliability Engineering and Resilience Assessment for Hybrid Renewable Energy Facilities Management in Northern Communities of Canada

加拿大北部社区混合可再生能源设施管理的可靠性工程和弹性评估相结合

• 批准号: RGPIN-2022-04918
• 负责人: Nasiri, Fuzhan
• 金额: $ 2.26万
• 依托单位: Concordia University
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Discovery Grants Program - Individual
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2022-01-01 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=746395
• 关键词: Integrating; Reliability; Engineering; Resilience; Assessment

The proposed discovery program will explore development of various integrated assessment, optimization, and simulation models advocating a tri-level value chain-reliability-resiliency analysis for integration of renewable energy technologies at the community scale in northern Canada. The main challenge and barrier to such a transition rests in low economy of scale due to small sizes of these communities and their vast geographical dispersion. In addition, RES accounts for various technologies such as bioenergy, wind, solar, and geothermal, with varied availability and potentials across the north. At the value-chain level, the program investigates optimal or equilibrium coordination of suppliers of technologies or fuels (in case of biomass), transport and logistics firms, and communities. We explore development of a host of optimization, game-theoretic, agent-based approaches in modeling and analysis of such value-chains. At the reliability engineering level, the goal would be on 1) investigating the degradation and failure profile of renewable energy facilities through a bottom-up (components to system) approach using time-series analysis subject to operational conditions in the north, 2) optimizing for maximum availability of the facilities considering the remoteness of the communities and reflecting the significance of operational continuity of these facilities and 3) proposing community-specific maintenance scheduling approaches to align the established failure profiles with the optimal availability scenarios. At the resiliency level, indicators and indices for resiliency assessment of renewable energy technologies, specific to northern communities, will be developed across various technologies (biomass, wind, solar, and geothermal) and subject to future climatic scenarios and forecasts for extreme conditions. The proposed tri-level analysis targets a whole-system understanding of the opportunities and challenges of renewable energy adoption in northern communities of Canada as well as a comparative analysis of alternative renewable energy technologies in terms of value-chain, reliability, and resiliency perspectives. As such, a hybrid approach to renewable energy adoption is promoted with involvement of multiple sources of energy coupled with energy storage capacities to ensure value-added and continuous renewable energy supply pathways for northern communities that could withstand and respond to the extreme and changing climate in these geographies. In this regard, the main objective of the proposed research program is to establish a research environment for training of high qualified PhD and MSc students in hybrid renewable energy facilities management solutions for off-grid and remote communities in Canada in line with federal and provincial targets for decarbonisation of the economy, need to post COVID-19 economic recovery, and the emerging attention to northern communities and uplifting of the quality of life for their residents.

拟议的发现计划将探索各种综合评估，优化和模拟模型的发展，倡导三级价值链可靠性弹性分析，可再生能源技术的整合，在加拿大北方的社区规模。这种过渡的主要挑战和障碍在于，由于这些社区规模小，地理分布广，规模经济低。此外，可再生能源还包括生物能源、风能、太阳能和地热等各种技术，这些技术在整个北方的可用性和潜力各不相同。在价值链层面，该计划研究技术或燃料供应商（生物质），运输和物流公司以及社区的最佳或均衡协调。我们探索了一系列优化，博弈论，基于代理的方法在建模和分析这样的价值链的发展。在可靠性工程层面，目标是：1）通过自下而上的方式调查可再生能源设施的退化和故障情况（部件到系统）的方法，根据北部的作业条件，2）考虑到社区的偏远性，并反映这些设施的业务连续性的重要性，优化设施的最大可用性，以及3）提出社区特定的维护调度方法，以使已建立的故障配置文件与最佳可用性场景保持一致。在复原力一级，将针对北方社区制定各种技术（生物量、风能、太阳能和地热）的可再生能源技术复原力评估指标和指数，并以未来气候情景和极端条件预测为依据。拟议的三个层次的分析目标是在加拿大的北方社区采用可再生能源的机会和挑战的全系统的理解，以及替代可再生能源技术的价值链，可靠性和弹性的角度进行比较分析。因此，促进采用可再生能源的混合方法，涉及多种能源以及能源储存能力，以确保北方社区能够承受和应对这些地区的极端和不断变化的气候的增值和持续的可再生能源供应途径。在这方面，拟议研究计划的主要目标是建立一个研究环境，为加拿大离网和偏远社区的混合可再生能源设施管理解决方案培训高素质的博士和硕士学生，以符合联邦和省级经济脱碳目标，需要COVID-19后的经济复苏，以及对北方社区的关注和居民生活质量的提高。