Effects of Errors on Seismic Safety

结构安全的研究必须包含三个子领域的概念。一个完美的部分，在那里圣维南的原则是无效的；以及设计和施工上的错误，这两个部分都会出现。该项目涉及识别该领域的此类错误，并以盲目的方式将其纳入对不完美部件的实验室测试中。利用专家小组对构件在模拟地震荷载作用下的承载力提出了意见，但尚未推广到破坏。专家们被要求提出补救措施以及对结构能力的口头意见。持续加载直至失败将提供衡量此类观点成功与否的标准。在可能的情况下，贝叶斯统计将被使用，但在不满足概率论公理的情况下，依赖于模糊集合理论。

The studies of the safety of structures must incorporate concepts covering three subareas. A perfect part, where St. Venant's principle is invalid; and errors in design and construction, which occur in both parts. This project is concerned with the identification of such errors in the field and their inclusion, in a blind fashion, into laboratory tests of imperfect parts. A group of experts are used to offer opinions concerning the capacity of the parts after simulated seismic loading, which has not been extended to destruction. The experts are asked to suggest remedial measures as well as verbal opinions of the structural competence. Continuing loading to failure will provide a measure of success of such opinions. Where possible Bayesian statistics will be used, but where the axioms of probability theory are not satisfied, reliance is made on fuzzy set theory.