The Maintenance of Stationary Waves in a General CirculationModel

虽然长期以来人们一直认为驻波 大气中的模式是可以预测的， 令人满意地证明了这一点。 的比较 模拟的简化版本和完全非线性 一个大气环流模式的版本可以用来确定 驻波的潜在可预测性。 这个项目 重点是审查维持的原因， NMC中的驻波及其异常 循环模型 将使用的技术工具是 稳态响应的离散化、线性化模型， 模式大气到指定的强迫，如地形和 暖气 该项目将首次提供 定量和明确的分析是什么原因造成的静止 NMC大气环流模式中的波浪。 这将奠定 真实的驻波研究基础 大气层以及动力学扩展的可行性 距离预测

While it has long been postulated that stationary wave patterns in the atmosphere are predictable, it has never been satisfactorily demonstrated that this is the case. A comparison of simulations with a simplified version and a fully non-linear version of a general circulation model can be used to determine the potential predictability of stationary waves. This project focuses on examination of the causes for maintenance of stationary waves and their anomalies in the NMC General Circulation Model. The technical tools to be used are discretized, linearized models of the steady state response of the model atmosphere to specified forcing such as orography and heating. The project will provide for the first time a quantitative and definitive analysis of what causes stationary waves in the NMC General Circulation Model. This will lay the foundation for research on stationary waves in the real atmosphere as well as on the feasibility of dynamical extended range prediction.