Climate Change and Great Lakes Management: Information and Process Evaluation

气候变化的影响是在涉及资源规划和管理的长期承诺的决定中应考虑的可能性。关于大湖流域资源管理的国际联合委员会目前正在权衡这些决定。本研究开发了一个建模系统和决策框架来解决大湖区的决策问题。该模型将提供对气候变化可能对流域产生的影响的见解，以及如何使用和评估这些信息的更一般的过程。该项目解决了三个问题：(1)为大湖管理决策提供有效的气候变化信息；(2)考虑到气候变化的不确定性，对管理灵活性和更好的信息价值的评估；(3)评价更好的信息如何影响用户及其对五大湖资源管理的理解。

The impacts of climate change are possibilities that should be considered in decisions involving long-term commitments for resource planning and management. Such decisions are now being weighed by the International Joint Commission concerning resource management of the Great Lakes basin. This study develops a modeling system and decision framework to address the Great Lakes decision problem. The model will provide insights into the effects climate change may have on the basin and into the more general process of how this information is used and valued. The project addresses three issues: (1) the effective provision of climate change information for Great Lakes management decisions; (2) the evaluation of management flexibility and the worth of better information given the uncertainties surrounding climate change; and (3) the evaluation of how better information affects users and their understanding of resource management for the Great Lakes.