Regime-Social Movement Interactions: The Linkages Between Social Movement Formation, Repression and Protest Cycles in the Intifada

9511053 Rasler这个项目的重点是起义（1987-1993），以扩展关于社会运动、政治反抗和抗议周期之间关系的理论和实证工作。有三个主要的理论主题指导假设的形成和检验阶段：1)抗议浪潮的演变；2)政权-挑战者互动；3)民族竞争的动态。本研究的第一部分审查了影响抗议浪潮形态的因素，例如镇压/让步政策、组织结构和竞争、外部各方的作用、组织间冲突和组织资源的收缩。第二部分研究了抑制/让步对潮流和空间扩散过程的短期和长期影响。第三部分调查了种族暴力的兴起及其对集体行动模式的影响。本研究的时间范围包括加沙地带和西岸1981-1993年期间。关于集体行动活动的发生、参与和持续时间的数据将从两份巴勒斯坦报纸- -阿拉伯语报纸al-Ouds和al-Fajr - -一份以色列报纸- -耶路撒冷邮报- -和一份区域新闻来源- -外国广播新闻处收集。研究设计为纵向，时间单位为周。事件历史方法将应用于分析。这项研究有望大大提高我们对这一主题的理解。＊＊＊

9511053 Rasler This project focuses on the Intifada (1987-1993) in order to extend the theoretical and empirical work on the relationships between social movements, political revolts and protest cycles. There are three major theoretical themes that guide the hypothesis formation and testing stages: 1) the evolution of protest waves; 2) regime-challenger interactions; and, 3) the dynamics of ethnic competition. The first section of the study examines the factors that influence the shape of the protest wave, e.g., policies of repression/concession, organizational structure and competition, the role of external parties, inter-organizational strife and the contraction of organizational resources. The second section investigates the short and long term effects of repression/concessions on bandwagon and spatial diffusion prmcesses. The third section investigates the rise of ethnic violence and its impact on collective action patterns. The temporal domain of the study covers the 1981-1993 period in both the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. Data on the occurrence, participation and duration of collective action events will be collected from two Palestinian newspapers - al-Ouds (Arabic) and al-Fajr (weekly, English) - one Israeli newspaper - Jerusalem Post - and one regional news source - The Foreign Broadcast Information Service. The research design is longitudinal and the temporal unit is weekly. Event-history methods will be applied to the analysis. This research promises to substantially enhance our understanding of this topic. ***