Fingerprints of Anthropogenic and Natural Climate Variability

摘要ATM-9707069华莱士约翰M。 华盛顿大学题目：人为和自然气候变化的指纹 气候模式模拟预测，由于人为变化，气候的平均状态会发生变化，但对于观测到的变暖的哪一部分可归因于这种人为影响，仍然存在不确定性。 这里提出了两种不同的方法，以减少与气候变化信号的估计相关的不确定性的组合应用。 通过这种技术，人们希望对目前气候记录中的人为信号的大小做出更可靠的估计。

Abstract ATM-9707069 Wallace John M. University of Washington Title: Finger Prints of Antropogenic and Natural Climate Variability Climate model simulations predict a change in the mean state of the climate due to anthropogenic changes but uncertainties remain as to what part of the observed warming can be attributed to this anthropogenic influence. A combined application of two different methods to reduce uncertainty associated with estimates of the climate change signal is proposed here. By this technique it is hoped to make more reliable estimates of the magnitude of the anthropogenic signal in the present climate record.