AOC: Societal Implications of Individual Differences in Response to Turbulence: The Case of Terrorism

个体对湍流反应差异的社会意义：恐怖主义的情况Roxane Cohen银，博士，首席研究员，加州大学，欧文理查德马修，博士，共同首席研究员，加州大学，欧文乔治Shambaugh，博士，共同首席研究员，乔治敦大学摘要二十世纪的最后几十年见证了技术创新的速度和规模的急剧上升，经济全球化、环境变化和政治转型。这些进程的影响是多种多样和复杂的。在许多方面-从识字率到预期寿命-人类取得了有据可查的显著成就。但是，我们这个相互联系和迅速变化的世界也受到越来越多的跨国威胁的挑战，如气候变化、传染病和全球恐怖主义。政治科学家们正在努力了解这些全球威胁如何影响民主价值观，制度和实践。社会心理学家正在研究创伤性事件在社会中引起的个人反应的范围。必须将这两方面的研究结合起来，以调查创伤性事件和对全球威胁的看法在多大程度上可能引发不同的政治反应，这些反应总体上可能影响民主价值观、体制和做法。我们将通过研究个人的年龄和年龄组如何影响他或她对恐怖主义和其他安全威胁的反应以及未来威胁的可能性，将我们的两个领域结合在一起。由于美国是在全球安全格局发生巨大动荡的时候老龄化的，因此重要的是要考虑这一现象如何影响我们国家对使用武力、征兵和许多其他安全相关问题的支持。它还提出了一些重要的一般性问题，如对政府的信任，议程设置和政策制定在一个老龄化的民主国家。在与基于Web的调查研究公司合作，我们将收集数据，从一个全国代表性的纵向小组的1500名成年人在三个波。这项研究的具体目的是探讨（a）老龄化和年龄组之间的关系;（B）个人对与安全有关的全球动荡和变革形式的解释和反应;（c）社会和政治结果，如支持或抗议在国外使用武力的变化、对国内监视的态度以及对政府的信任程度。我们将使用跨国恐怖主义的威胁作为全球动荡和转型的主要例子，但我们相信，我们的研究所产生的结果同样适用于传染病，恶劣天气事件和跨国犯罪等问题。

Societal Implications of Individual Differences in Response to Turbulence: The Case of TerrorismRoxane Cohen Silver, PhD, Principal Investigator, University of California, IrvineRichard Matthew, PhD, Co-Principal Investigator, University of California, IrvineGeorge Shambaugh, PhD, Co-Principal Investigator, Georgetown UniversityAbstractThe final decades of the twentieth century witnessed a dramatic upsurge in the pace and scale of technological innovation, economic globalization, environmental change and political transformation. The impacts of these processes are varied and complex. On many fronts--from literacy to life expectancy--humankind has experienced remarkable and well-documented gains. But our interconnected and rapidly changing world is also being challenged by an expanding list of transnational threats such as climate change, infectious disease and global terrorism. Political scientists are working to understand how these global threats are affecting democratic values, institutions, and practices. Social psychologists are studying the range of responses traumatic events elicit among individuals within a society. It is important to weave these two strands of research together to investigate the extent to which traumatic events and perceptions of global threats may evoke different political responses that in aggregate can influence democratic values, institutions and practices. We will bring our two fields together by studying how an individual's age and age cohort influences his or her responses to terrorism and other security threats and the perceived likelihood of future threats. Because the United States is aging at a time of great turbulence in the global security landscape, it is important to consider how this phenomenon influences our country's support for the use of force, conscription, and many other security-related issues. It also raises important general questions about issues such as trust in government, agenda setting and policy formulation in an aging democracy.In collaboration with a Web-based survey research company, we will collect data from a nationally representative longitudinal panel of 1500 adults at three waves.. The specific aims of this research are to explore the relationships among (a) aging and age cohorts; (b) individual interpretations of and responses to security-relevant forms of global turbulence and transformation; and (c) social and political outcomes such as changes in support for or protest against the use of force abroad, attitudes towards surveillance at home, and one's level of trust in government. We will use the threat of transnational terrorism as the primary example of global turbulence and transformation, but we believe the findings generated by our research are equally relevant to issues such as infectious disease, severe weather events, and transnational crime.