DICES - Dealing with change in SIDS: societal action and political reaction in sea level change adaptation in Small Island Developing States

项目DICES(处理小岛屿发展中国家的变化)分析和制定了在小岛屿发展中国家实施当地沿海保护措施的备选方案。在预计海平面上升及其可能对社会产生重大影响的背景下，实施沿海保护措施被认为是一项必要的适应战略。一个由海岸工程师、环境经济学家和综合地理学家组成的跨学科团队将使用精心挑选的案例研究来(1)分析社会行动在其文化嵌入中的性质，(2)确定低后悔战略作为潜在的海岸保护措施，以及(3)调查当地人参与实施这些措施的意愿。正式和非正式机构对于积极执行适应战略与沿海社区参与海岸保护替代概念和相关潜在基础设施安排的意愿同样重要。因此，DICS特别关注感知和接受适应战略的社会框架条件和政治反应。基于两个不同小岛屿发展中国家的案例研究，将调查现有的治理结构，并将其与概率路径设计得出的潜在行动选择进行比较。马尔代夫基本上是一种自上而下的治理方式，而巴布亚新几内亚有非常特殊的政治和社会结构，是以一种自下而上的方式组织起来的，这种方式很大程度上依赖于公民参与，所采用的方法从家庭调查、选择和实地试验、数值模拟到与活跃在沿海保护领域的政策企业家进行的重点小组讨论。将在一个综合进程中制定不同的方法办法，并在两个案例研究中同时实施。将分析相同点和不同点，并对所应用的方法包的跨学科相互联系进行严格审查。总体而言，DICS将对以个案研究为导向的分析作出重大贡献，这些分析涉及海平面上升的障碍和潜力以及各自的当地应对战略。将分析DICES调查结果的可转移性，并将调查结果纳入与小岛屿发展中国家海平面变化有关的国际讨论。

The project DICES (Dealing with change in SIDS) analyses and develops options for the implementation of local coastal protection measures in Small Island Developing States (SIDS). Implementing coastal protection measures is considered a necessary adaptation strategy in the context of projected sea level rise and the significant impact it is likely to have on society. An interdisciplinary team of coastal engineers, environmental economists and integrated geographers will use carefully selected case studies to (1) analyse the nature of societal action in its cultural embeddedness, (2) identify low-regret strategies as potential coastal protection measures and (3) investigate local people`s willingness to engage in the implementation of these measures. Formal and informal institutions are as important for the active implementation of adaptation strategies as coastal communities` willingness to engage in alternative concepts of coastal protection and related potential infrastructural arrangements. Therefore, DICES particularly focuses on the societal framework conditions and political reactions under which adaptation strategies are perceived and embraced.Based on case studies in two different SIDS, existing governance structures will be investigated and compared to potential options for action derived from probabilistic pathway design. While the Maldives represent a mostly top-down approach to governance, Papua New Guinea has very specific political and societal structures and is organized in a bottom-up approach which strongly relies on civic engagement.The methods applied range from household surveys, choice and field experiments, numerical modelling to focus group discussions with policy entrepreneurs active in the field of coastal protection. The different methodological approaches will be developed in an integrative process and implemented concurrently in both case studies. Similarities and differences will be analyzed and the interdisciplinary interconnection of the methods package applied critically examined. Overall, DICES will make a significant contribution to case study oriented analyses that deal with the barriers and potentials of sea level rise and respective local coping strategies. The transferability of DICES findings will be analysed, and findings incorporated in the international discussion related to sea level change in SIDS.