Simulation of the Japanese Beef Economy

对分析框架进行了审查。此外，还收集了基本数据。基于这些数据和分析框架，得出以下结论.犊牛市场周期的经济学分析（1）犊牛市场具有7年周期的周期性现象。(2)可以预测，这一周期将在1991年左右触底，届时日本牛肉市场将取消进口配额。(3)因此，价格稳定政策进行了审查。牛肉市场自由化的投入产出分析(1)250，000人可能会失去工作机会，此外，还有600，000，000，000日元的附加值。(2)农业、林业和渔业可能受到严重破坏，但28%的失业和70%的附加值损失将集中在其他部门。(3)因此，就业稳定化政策进行审查。

Analytical frameworks have been examined. in addition, basic data have been collected. Based on these data and the analytical frameworks, following results have been derived.1. Economic Analysis on Calf Market's Cycle(1) This market is characterized by 7 years period cyclical phenomena.(2) The cycle can be forcasted to be around the bottom in 1991, when the Japanese beef market is scheduled to remove its import quota.(3) Thus, price stabilization policies are examined.2. Input-Output Analysis on Beef Maket Liberalization.(1) 250,000 of people might lose their job opportunity, in addition, 600,000,000,000 yen of value added.(2) Agriculture, forestry and fisheries might be seriously damaged, However, 28% of unemployment and 70% of value added loss will be concentrated in other sectors.(3) Thus enployment stalalization policies are examined.