EPSRC/ESC Follow on Funding: Operationalising Socio-Technical Energy Transitions

能源系统转型的实施阶段表明，雄心勃勃的脱碳战略不仅必须包括激进的技术经济变革，而且还必须纳入社会和政治层面。社会技术能量转换(STET)代表了真正跨学科的学术研究的前沿--将多层次视角中的定性和定量因素结合在一起，共同进化理论，复杂性科学的应用，以及适应性政策路径的使用。然而，尽管学术研究充满活力，但到目前为止，STET研究对政策和行业决策的影响微乎其微。这项建议(O-STET)侧重于操作和应用这一高度新颖的跨学科方法。O-STET将通过两种截然不同的方法实现四个主要的具体成果：a.STET建模1一个开源建模框架，包含特定于代理人的决策以及政治和社会驱动者之间的正/负反馈。2a一个简化的决策者工具，用于迭代利益相关者参与。b.STET场景1b逻辑上一致的不确定性探索场景，以框架定性对话和现有能源模型。2b关于分支点和关键组件的深入观点。提案团队将英国领先的能源系统建模小组(在伦敦大学学院)与英国领先的苏塞克斯大学的创新和转型小组结合在一起。PI在领导与关键利益相关者深入互动的主要整体系统项目方面经验丰富。在这方面，他得到了苏塞克斯和伦敦大学学院联合IS的密切支持，这两个人在过去的EPSRC项目上都有明显的合作、管理和产出交付方面的成功。直接响应这次EPSRC呼吁的要求，O-STET项目在结构上嵌入了能源系统弹射器，充当了ESC的外部“分析实验室”。O-Stet将首先提供ESC的能源模型和更广泛的基于项目的资产组合的理论和研究框架。第二，与ESC的双边互动将使新的STET建模和情景工具能够迭代地开发和实施。第三，为了最大限度地提高这些新视角的输出的适用性，我们将生成一个精简的STET决策者工具，该工具具有清晰的图形用户界面(GUI)，以及关于STET场景关键元素(例如，新业务模型)的分支点和关键组件的深入透视。然后，O-STET项目团队和ESC将联合成为一个“平台”，通过一系列6个利益相关者和技术研讨会，向整个政策和行业能源界传播STET的见解。O-STET将有一个主要的在线存在，我们将在那里管理和传播该项目下产生的开放源码资源；包括完整的模型、用于与其他模型杂交的模块化组件、模型文档、数据集、社会技术建模协议、情景模板、数据和政策简介。

The implementation phase of the energy system transition has shown that ambitious decarbonisation strategies must not only encompass radical techno-economic change but also incorporate societal and political dimensions as well. Socio-Technical Energy Transitions (STET) represents the cutting-edge of truly interdisciplinary academic research - incorporating a marriage of qualitative and quantitative elements in the multi-level perspective, co-evolutionary theories, the application of complexity science, and the use of adaptive policy pathways. However despite the vibrancy of academic research, the impact of STET research on policy and industrial decision-making to date has been negligible. This proposal (O-STET) is focused on operationalising and applying this highly novel interdisciplinary approach. O-STET will have four main concrete deliverables via two contrasting approaches:A. STET modelling1a An open-source modelling framework with agent specific decision-making, and positive/negative feedbacks between political and societal drivers.2a A stripped down decision maker tool for iterative stakeholder engagement.B. STET scenarios1b Logically consistent, uncertainty-exploring scenarios, to frame both qualitative dialogues and existing energy models.2b In-depth perspectives on branching points and critical components.The proposal team combines the UK's leading energy systems modelling group (at UCL) with the UK's leading innovation and transitions group at the University of Sussex. The PI is highly experienced at leading major whole systems projects with deep interaction with key stakeholders. In this he is closely supported by the Co-Is at Sussex and UCL, all of whom have a demonstrable success in collaboration, management and output delivery on past EPSRC projects.Responding directly to the requirements of this EPSRC Call, the O-STET project is structurally embedded with the Energy Systems Catapult, acting as an external "Analytical Laboratory" to the ESC. O-STET will first provide a theoretical and research framing of the ESC's portfolio of energy models and wider project-based assets. Second, bilateral interaction with the ESC will enable novel STET modelling and scenario tools to be iteratively developed and operationalised. Third, to maximise the applicability of the outputs of these new perspectives we will produce a stripped down STET decision-maker tool with a clear graphical user interface (GUI), as well as in-depth perspectives on branching points and critical components for key elements of STET scenarios (for example, new business models). The O-STET project team and the ESC will then combine as a "Platform" to disseminate STET insights to the full policy and industry energy community, anchored through a set of 6 stakeholder and technical workshops. O-STET will have a major online presence where we will curate and disseminate the open source resources produced under the project; including full models, modular components for hybridisation with other models, model documentation, datasets, socio-technical modelling protocols, scenario templates, data, and policy briefs.