Centre for Population Change (Transition funding)

以方案协调会过去八年的成就和主要发现为基础，过渡供资期间的科学方案包括一系列巩固和扩展该研究的项目，提供机会对我们以前的工作建议的新的调查途径采取后续行动，并对方案协调会和其他地方在该领域取得的进展作出反应。科学议程还为预期的中心全额资助竞标奠定了基础，即为CPC-III，保留关键的研究人员，以及重要的行政和KE中心。CPC-II的创新研究已经并将继续产生令人兴奋的新发现。因此，在科学界和更广泛的经济和社会影响中最大限度地发挥这些影响将是过渡期间的一项核心活动。我们的研究将继续围绕以下五个主题领域进行：生育和家庭变化2。寿命的延长和生命历程的改变。新的流动性和迁移。理解代际关系和交流。综合人口估计和预测这些主题领域明确认识到人口变化的各个组成部分彼此之间以及与经济和社会进程之间的动态相互作用。前三个主题反映了人口变化的三个主要组成部分：生育率、死亡率和移徙。了解诸如人口老龄化、家庭形成和解体的变化以及（空间、经济和社会）流动性增加等趋势如何既受到国际关系和支助流动的影响，又反过来影响国际关系和支助流动，对于评估家庭在家庭之外的作用以及关于代际团结和正义的辩论至关重要。最后，方案协调会最显著的成功之一是在创新方法和建模领域，我们将继续在人口建模发展的前沿工作，与国家统计局和其他国家统计机构密切合作。方案协调会将继续在经济与社会研究委员会确定的三个至关重要的领域作出贡献：设计学术研究，考虑到其政策影响和对社会中人的福祉的高度影响；在研究方案中纳入重要的能力建设内容，同时培训人口变化多学科领域的新兴社会科学家；利用现有和新获得的定量数据来源，其中一些是ESRC的核心投资。与我们的合作伙伴国家统计局和国家统计局以及其他用户的持续接触将确保我们的研究保持及时和相关。

Building on the achievements and key findings from the past eight years of CPC, the scientific programme during the transition funding period consists of a set of projects that consolidate and extend that research, providing an opportunity to follow-up on new avenues of enquiry suggested by our prior work and to response to advances in the field generated by CPC and elsewhere. The scientific agenda also lays the foundation for an anticipated bid for full Centre funding i.e. for CPC-III, retaining key research staff and, importantly the Administrative and KE Hub. The innovative research within CPC-II has, and will continue to, generate exciting and novel findings. Maximising the impact of these, both within the scientific community and wider economic and societal impact will therefore be a core activity during transition. Our research will continue to be organised around the five thematic areas of:1. Fertility and family change 2. Increasing longevity and the changing life course3. New mobilities and migration4. Understanding intergenerational relations & exchange5. Integrated demographic estimation and forecasting These thematic areas explicitly recognise the dynamic interaction of the individual components of population change both with each other and with economic and social processes. The first three themes reflect the three main components of population change: fertility, mortality and migration. Understanding how trends such as the ageing of the population, changes in family formation and dissolution and increased mobility (spatial, economic and social) are both shaped by and in turn shape international relations and flows of support is essential for assessing the role of the family beyond the household and for debates around intergenerational solidarity and justice. Finally, one of the most notable successes of CPC has been in the area of innovative methods and modelling, and we will continue to work at the cutting edge of developments in demographic modelling, collaborating closely with ONS and other national statistical agencies.CPC will continue its contribution to three areas identified by the ESRC as of key importance: the design of academic research with a consideration for its policy implications and a high impact on the wellbeing of persons in society; the incorporation of a significant capacity-building element in the research programme with the training of emerging social scientists in the multi-disciplinary area of population change; and the exploitation of existing and newly-available sources of quantitative data, some of which are core ESRC investments. Continued engagement with our partners ONS and NRS and other users will ensure our research remains timely and relevant.