SIRENA (Strategic Impact of Research Engaging NEMO Applications)

全球模型在代表海洋动力学和环流方面达到了非凡的现实主义水平。通过战略性地将高性能计算(HPC)和国家能力(NC)重点放在高分辨率、全球范围的建模上，NERC已将英国置于欧洲海洋建模工作的前沿。这项投资将继续带来科学红利，但NERC也处于一个极好的地位，通过利用它来应对与未来社会和商业需求相关的挑战，从而从中获得附加值。在锡雷纳，我们建议利用NERC NC建模工作的现有成果，以及通过其他研究计划的现有联系，来满足与现代经济体的食品和能源部门有关的两个这样的需求。第一个问题涉及所谓的海洋热点，即气候变化高于平均水平可能对海洋资源造成严重后果的地区，而第二个问题涉及石油和天然气活动范围的扩大，包括向更深的海洋水域。在这两种情况下，在扩大开采和减轻影响的需要之间存在着重大的权衡，而且两种情况之间目前和潜在的重叠使这一点更加复杂。在实践中，Sirena将开发一个案例研究，向潜在的新用户群体展示海洋建模方面的进展，并说明这种建模在环境风险评估中的应用。选定的案例研究将侧重于既是海洋热点又是石油和天然气利益攸关方感兴趣的单一区域(很可能在巴西周围)，另一个目的是强调这两个原本不同的活动的重叠需求和利益以及潜在的合作。为了实现这些目标，Sirena被组织成四个工作包。第一个是与选定的石油和天然气利益相关者组织一次初步研讨会，以优化案例研究的框架，然后在国际“海洋商业”展览上展示。第二个将利用现有的模型输出，为特定的海洋热点提供详细的物理和生物地球化学/生态预测，并将在2015年在巴西举行的第三次气候变化影响研讨会上展示这一点。第三个项目将利用正在进行的GLLS计划，提供一个讲习班论坛，在当地利益攸关方的协助下，将本次研讨会上展示的NERC模型产出(例如，改变流通、生物地质化学)转化为与政策相关的产出。最后的一揽子工作将利用案例研究的经验来制作一个模板，该模板将适用于构成国际海鸥方案基础的所有南半球海洋热点。锡雷纳的核心驱动力是，这些不同的活动将促进人们对NERC世界级建模工作的认识，并鼓励利益相关者将其用于附加值活动，这些利益相关者传统上没有与NERC中心接触，但代表着关键的资源和商业利益。在Sirena的愿景中，以这种方式扩大NERC参与的基础对于这样的重要科学在未来保持生存至关重要。

Global models have reached an exceptional level of realism in representing ocean dynamics and circulation. By strategically focusing High Performance Computing (HPC) and National Capability (NC) on high resolution, global-scale modelling, NERC has placed the UK at the forefront of ocean modelling efforts in Europe. This investment will continue to pay scientific dividends, but NERC is also in an excellent position to extract added value from it by employing it in tackling challenges related to future societal and business needs. In SIRENA, we propose to utilise existing outputs from NERC's NC modelling efforts, as well as existing links through other research programmes, to address two such needs related to the food and energy sectors of modern economies. The first of these relates to so-called marine hotspots, areas where above average climate change may have serious consequences for marine resources, while the second concerns the expanding sphere of oil and gas activities, including to deeper ocean waters. In both of these cases, there are significant trade-offs between the need to extend exploitation while mitigating impacts, and this is compounded by the current and potential overlaps between both cases. In practical terms, SIRENA will develop a case study that demonstrate advances in ocean modelling to potential new user communities, and illustrate the applications of this modelling for environmental risk assessment. The selected case study will focus on a single region (most likely around Brazil) that is both a marine hotspot and is of interest to oil and gas stakeholders, and a further aim is to underscore the overlapping needs and interests, as well as potential collaborations, of these two otherwise divergent activities. To achieve these ends, SIRENA is organised into four workpackages. The first organises an initial workshops with select oil and gas stakeholders to optimise the framing of the case study, which will then be demonstrated at the international "Ocean Business" exhibition. The second will use existing model output to provide a detailed physical and biogeochemical/ecological forecast for a specific marine hotspot, and will showcase this at the 3rd Symposium on the Effects of Climate Change in Brazil in 2015. The third will leverage an ongoing programme, GULLS, to provide a workshop forum for translating the NERC modelling outputs demonstrated at this symposium (e.g. changing circulation, biogeochemistry) into policy-relevant outputs with the assistance of local stakeholders. The final workpackage will use the experiences derived from the case study to produce a template that will be applied to all of the southern hemisphere marine hotspots that form the basis of the international GULLS programme. The central, driving motivation in SIRENA is that these diverse activities will promote awareness of NERC's world-class modelling efforts and encourage their use in added-value activities by stakeholders that have not traditionally been engaged with NERC centres, but who represent key resource and business interests. In SIRENA's vision, broadening the base of NERC's engagement in this way is critical for such important science to remain viable into the future.