SUSTAINABLE REGENERATION: FROM EVIDENCE-BASED URBAN FUTURES TO IMPLEMENTATION

特别股方案的第一阶段必然侧重于目前，评估目前的解决办法及其在不久的将来的应用情况，从而提供了一个坚实的经验基础。现在既有必要也有足够的工作来推断研究结果，以建立和测试替代性城市未来：在以前和新的工作基础上，并根据不同的基本假设和优先事项，创建各种情景;从设计、工程实施和绩效衡量方面评估这些情景;在缓解和适应措施方面完善这些方案，纳入新的解决办法;并最终提供具有相关证据基础的替代解决办法和实施战略。此次竞标旨在整合目前三个SUE财团（伯明翰东区，VivaCity 2020和WaND）的成果，以及利用树木减轻大气污染影响的补充研究。该团队将跨学科工作，设想和建立替代未来（使用有关此主题的广泛文献和之前的WaND联盟工作），并构建可能从每个替代未来流出的场景。然后，各种工作包将侧重于测试每个备选未来的具体方面，维斯在案例历史遗址的背景下对其设计、实施和绩效进行测试。每个项目都将有一个由有影响力的利益攸关方组成的专家小组，他们将每六个月举行一次会议，以测试和帮助形成新的想法，每个专家小组的主席将组成更高级别的项目指导委员会。在小组磋商之后，将就动机和决策过程与利益攸关方进行访谈，并进行具体的实证研究和建模。以下高层次的问题将通过这个过程中得到解决：-如何从头开始的可持续性概念化影响设计成果（如形式，密度）？如果城市更新是基于环境、社会或经济的首要驱动因素，结果会有什么变化？- 发展如何影响其周围环境，反之亦然（例如，一个“可持续”的网站是好的城市/地区/国家，如果是这样，在什么方面？）是否存在产生最佳可持续成果的最佳发展规模？- 推动与拉动，以实现可持续的成果。所做的许多事情都被认为是好的（对个人，社会，环境），可能是想要的（推动）。因此，决策是做出的，人们必须决定是否采取所有权。如果那些必须获得所有权的人决定创造什么（拉动），是否会产生更可持续的结果？伯明翰东区将被用于开发可持续发展理念，并在规划和开发的各个阶段对这些理念进行测试（研究团队通过与东区主要利益相关者的合作伙伴关系，拥有无与伦比的访问权限）。兰开斯特（有莫雷坎贝，人口96 k）和伍斯特（94 k）将用于测试较小城市地区（例如集镇）规模的结果，但不会尝试建立与东区相同的综合数据库。其他几个英国和国际城市地区（包括圣保罗、新加坡和印度的一个城市地区）将被用来测试该项目调查结果的一个子集，以评估这些情景在各种情况下的可移植性，从而评估其普遍适用性。

The first phase of the SUE Programme has focused necessarily on the present, assessing current solutions and their application in the near future, thus providing a strong empirical base on which to build. There now exist both the need and a sufficient body of work to extrapolate the findings to establish and test alternative urban futures: to create a variety of scenarios, building on prior and new work, and predicated on different fundamental assumptions and priorities; to assess those scenarios in terms of design, engineering implementation and measurement of performance; to refine them, in terms of mitigation and adaptation measures, incorporating novel solutions; and ultimately to provide alternative solutions with an associated evidence base and strategies for their implementation. This bid seeks to integrate the outputs of three current SUE consortia (Birmingham Eastside, VivaCity 2020 and WaND) and complementary research on the use of trees to mitigate the effects of atmospheric pollution. The team will work across disciplines to envision and establish alternative futures (using extensive literature on this subject and prior WaND consortium work) and construct scenarios that might flow from each alternative future. The various work packages will then focus on testing specific dimensions of each alternative future vis a vis their design, implementation and performance in the context of case history sites. Each project will engage an expert panel of influential stakeholders who will meet six-monthly to test and help shape new ideas, the chairs of each of the expert panels forming the higher level project steering committee. Panel consultation will be followed by interviews of stakeholders on motivations and the decision-making process, and specific empirical research and modelling. The following high level questions will be addressed via this process: - How does the ab initio conceptualization of sustainability influence design outcomes (e.g. form, density)? How would outcomes change if urban renewal were predicated on either environmental or social or economic overriding drivers? - How does development impact on its environs, and vice versa (e.g. is a 'sustainable' site good for the city / region / country and, if so, in what ways?) and is there an optimum development size to yield optimally sustainable outcomes? - Push versus pull to achieve sustainable outcomes. Much of what is done is thought good (for individuals, society, the environment), what might be wanted (push). Thus decisions are made and people must decide whether or not to take ownership. Might more sustainable outcomes follow if those who must take ownership dictate what is created (pull)? Birmingham Eastside will be used both to develop sustainability ideas and to test them on sites at various stages of planning and development (the research team has unparalleled access via its partnerships with key stakeholders involved in Eastside). Lancaster (with Morecambe, population 96k) and Worcester (94k) will be used to test the outcomes at the scale of smaller urban areas (e.g. market towns) but no attempt will be made to build comprehensive databases as at Eastside. Several other UK and international urban areas (including Sao Paulo, Singapore and an urban area in India) will be used to test a sub-set of the project's findings to assess the transferability of the scenarios to a variety of contexts and thus their general applicability.