Research on Improving Risk Management Through Improving Theory and Practice in Risk Perception and Risk Communication

这个项目的总体目的是提高对风险感知、沟通和管理的理论和实践理解。具体而言，该研究将(1)检验人们在思考和做出风险决策时使用的认知模型；(2)基于这些模型开发改进的风险沟通方法；(3)检验风险感知和沟通在有效风险管理中的作用；(4)开发改进的风险管理分析方法和工具。作为该项目的一部分，将在六个领域进行案例研究：家庭氡、60赫兹电磁场、太阳紫外线、安全带、水坝安全以及化学致癌物。尽管风险认知在风险沟通和风险管理中的重要性，但通过多学科合作将理论与实践相结合的研究很少。这一创新项目将整合来自几个案例研究的理论模型和经验数据，以开发有效的风险沟通和管理的改进方法。预计该项目将为分析人员和决策者提供重要信息。具体而言，预计研究结果将(1)有助于提高对风险认知在决策过程中的作用的理解；(2)为分析师和决策者提供更有力的方法来解决风险沟通和管理中的困难和复杂问题。

The overall purpose of this project is to develop improved theoretical and practical understanding of risk perception, communication, and management. Specifically, the research will (1) examine cognitive models that people use in thinking and making decisions about risks; (2) develop improved risk communication methods based on these models; (3) examine the role of risk perception and communication in effective risk management; and (4) develop improved analytic approaches and tools for risk management. As part of the project, case studies will be undertaken in six areas: radon in homes, 60 hertz electromagnetic fields, solar ultraviolet light, seat belts, dam safety, and chemical carcinogens. Despite the importance of risk perceptions in risk communication and risk management, little research has focused on integrating theory and practice through multidisciplinary collaborative work. This innovative project will integrate theoretical models and empirical data from several case studies to develop improved methods for effective risk communication and management. It is expected that the project will provide important information for both analysts and decision makers. Specifically, it is expected that the results of the study will (1) contribute to the development of improved understanding of the role of risk perceptions in the decision making process; and (2) provide analysts and decision makers with more powerful methods for addressing difficult and complex issues in risk communication and management.