Development of Procedures for Characterizing and Ranking Environmental and Other Risks

制定环境和其他风险的特征描述和排名程序

• 批准号: 9512023
• 负责人: M Granger Morgan
• 金额: $ 45.5万
• 依托单位: Carnegie-Mellon University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1995
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1995-09-01 至 1999-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9512023&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Development; Procedures; Characterizing; Ranking; Environmental

The PIs propose to develop a methodological tool for ranking risks. Since the society has a limited ability to reduce all risks, there is an obvious benefit in prioritizing the risks that must be confronted. The tool to be developed will include both public values and experts ratings as components of the risk assessment technique. The ranking process will involve categorization of the risks and identification of the attributes upon which the risks will be evaluated. Each group of assessors will both perform reductionistic and impressionistic ranking procedures in order to minimize the influence of procedural and framing effects on the assessment of risk. The PIs will also conduct a series of studies to help determine whether the procedure they develop will yield reproducible results.

PI 建议开发一种对风险进行排名的方法工具。 由于社会减少所有风险的能力有限，因此优先考虑必须面对的风险有明显的好处。 待开发的工具将包括公共价值观和专家评级，作为风险评估技术的组成部分。 排名过程将涉及风险分类和评估风险的属性的识别。 每组评估员都将执行还原主义和印象主义排名程序，以尽量减少程序和框架效应对风险评估的影响。 PI 还将进行一系列研究，以帮助确定他们开发的程序是否会产生可重复的结果。