Development of Procedures for Characterizing and Ranking Environmental and Other Risks

私人投资机构建议开发一种对风险进行排序的方法工具。由于社会减少所有风险的能力有限，因此对必须面对的风险进行优先排序显然是有益的。待开发的工具将包括公众价值和专家评级，作为风险评估技术的组成部分。排序过程将包括对风险进行分类，并确定评估风险所依据的属性。每组评估员都将执行简化和印象排序程序，以尽量减少程序和框架效应对风险评估的影响。pi还将进行一系列研究，以帮助确定他们开发的程序是否会产生可重复的结果。

The PIs propose to develop a methodological tool for ranking risks. Since the society has a limited ability to reduce all risks, there is an obvious benefit in prioritizing the risks that must be confronted. The tool to be developed will include both public values and experts ratings as components of the risk assessment technique. The ranking process will involve categorization of the risks and identification of the attributes upon which the risks will be evaluated. Each group of assessors will both perform reductionistic and impressionistic ranking procedures in order to minimize the influence of procedural and framing effects on the assessment of risk. The PIs will also conduct a series of studies to help determine whether the procedure they develop will yield reproducible results.