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The Use of Bounding Analysis in Risk Analysis

The Use of Bounding Analysis in Risk Analysis
边界分析在风险分析中的应用
批准号:
0216897
负责人:
M Granger Morgan
金额:
$11.05万
依托单位:
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
2002
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2002-09-01 至 2004-08-31

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中文摘要
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英文摘要
The project will begin the development and demonstration of a new method to produce quantitative bounds on the risk that can be attributed to a set of environmental agents in circumstances in which conventional agent-by-agent "front-to-back" risk analysis produces results with extremely wide uncertainty bounds. The method will begin by summarizing available toxicological and epidemiological evidence on the end-point(s) in a form that facilitates easy comparisons. A constrained sum expert elicitation procedure will be developed which uses these data, together with expert judgment, to probabilistically attribute known and suspected causes of the health end-point to the observed cases. The result of this work should be a new set of methods which can be used by the risk analysis community in conjunction with more traditional risk analytic methods to bound the magnitude of possible health impacts from some types of environmental risks.
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A Proposal for Annual Doctoral Student Participatory Workshops on Climate and Energy Decision Making
  • 批准号:
    2013896
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $25.13万
  • 财政年份:
    2020
  • 负责人:
    M Granger Morgan
  • 依托单位:
DMUU: Climate and Energy Decision Making
  • 批准号:
    1463492
  • 项目类别:
    Cooperative Agreement
  • 资助金额:
    $450.0万
  • 财政年份:
    2015
  • 负责人:
    M Granger Morgan
  • 依托单位:
DMUU: Center on Climate Decision Making
  • 批准号:
    0949710
  • 项目类别:
    Cooperative Agreement
  • 资助金额:
    $599.71万
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 负责人:
    M Granger Morgan
  • 依托单位:
DMUU: Climate and Related Decision Making in the Face of Irreducible Uncertainties
  • 批准号:
    0345798
  • 项目类别:
    Cooperative Agreement
  • 资助金额:
    $140.0万
  • 财政年份:
    2004
  • 负责人:
    M Granger Morgan
  • 依托单位:
海外基金