Intuitive Toxicology: Studies of Expert and Lay Judgments of Chemical Risks

这个项目旨在了解认知模型，假设， 和推理方法，包括外行的系统， "直观的毒理学"，并将该系统与 认知模型、假设和推理方法 毒理学家和风险评估员。 这样的比较会暴露出 专家和外行之间的相似性和差异 社区以及外行人的看法和 专家观点。 将设计若干实证研究， 在这个项目的过程中进行和报告。 这些 研究应该产生更清晰，更清晰的表达 现有的专家和外行的概念框架 关于化学品危害和用于 评估化学品风险。 这种表达对于 改进风险评估方法，并制定 一个取代两极化社会冲突的风险管理过程 就化学品风险进行有效的多途径沟通， 效益

This project aims to understand the cognitive models, assumptions, and inference methods the comprise the layperson's system of "intuitive toxicology" and to compare this system with the cognitive models, assumptions, and inference methods of toxicologists and risk assessors. Such comparisons would expose the similarities and differences within the expert and lay communities as well as the differences between lay perceptions and expert views. Several empirical studies will be designed, conducted, and reported during the course of this project. These studies should produce clearer, better articulated representation of the conceptual frameworks that exist for experts and laypeople with regard to chemical hazards and the scientific methods used to assess chemical risks. Such representations are crucial for improved methods of risk assessment and for the development of a risk-management process that replaces polarized social conflict with effective multi-way communication about chemical risks and benefits.