Predictability and Variability of the Present Climate

当前气候的可预测性和变化性

• 批准号: 9814295
• 负责人: Jagadish Shukla
• 金额: $ 470万
• 依托单位: Institute of Global Environment and Society
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 1999
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1999-03-01 至 2005-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9814295&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Predictability; Variability; Present; Climate

AbstractATM-9814295Shukla, JagadishInstitute of Global Environment & SocietyTitle: Predictability and Variability of the Present ClimateThe main objective of this grant research is to establish a scientific basis for, and to advance our understanding of the variability and predictability of the present climate using comprehensive and realistic models of the climate system. The primary emphasis is to simulate, understand and demonstrate the predictability of seasonal-to-interannual climate variations using coupled models of the atmosphere, ocean and land system. Understanding and predicting seasonal-to-interannual variability requires modeling and understanding variability on interdecadal time scales; therefore, the PIs will investigate some aspects of the decadal variability and predictability of climate.

摘要ATM-9814295Shukla，贾加迪什全球环境与社会研究所标题：当前气候的可预测性和变异性这项资助研究的主要目标是利用全面而现实的气候系统模型建立科学基础，并增进我们对当前气候的变异性和可预测性的理解。 主要重点是使用大气、海洋和陆地系统的耦合模型来模拟、理解和演示季节性到年际气候变化的可预测性。 了解和预测季节到年际的变化需要建模和理解年代际时间尺度的变化；因此，PI 将调查气候年代际变化和可预测性的某些方面。