Predictability and Variability of the Present Climate

JagadishGeorge Mason University书名：当代气候的可预测性和可变性这项赠款研究的主要目的是建立一个科学基础，并利用气候系统的全面和现实的模型来促进我们对当前气候的可变性和可预测性的理解。主要的重点是利用大气、海洋和陆地系统的耦合模式来模拟、理解和演示季节到年际气候变化的可预测性。理解和预测季节到年际的变率需要对年代际时间尺度上的变率进行建模和理解；因此，采购经理人指数将调查气候的年代际变率和可预测性的某些方面。

AbstractATM-9910853Shukla, JagadishGeorge Mason UniversityTitle: Predictability and Variability of the Present ClimateThe main objective of this grant research is to establish a scientific basis for, and to advance our understanding of the variability and predictability of the present climate using comprehensive and realistic models of the climate system. The primary emphasis is to simulate, understand and demonstrate the predictability of seasonal-to-interannual climate variations using coupled models of the atmosphere, ocean and land system. Understanding and predicting seasonal-to-interannual variability requires modeling and understanding variability on interdecadal time scales; therefore, the PIs will investigate some aspects of the decadal variability and predictability of climate.