Cooperative Election Study, 2010 to 2014 Panel Survey

该项目支持2014年选举前和选举后的调查，该调查重新访问了全国9000名公民，这些公民最初是在2010年和2012年选举期间接受调查的。这将导致有史以来规模最大的多年选举小组调查之一。小组设计为研究人员提供了一种更好地了解民意、政治态度和选举行为在一次又一次选举中发生变化的方法。这个庞大的小组提供了足够的统计力量来衡量群体内的舆论动态，如种族、经济或党派群体或国家特定地区内的舆论动态。因此，该小组的力量可能会为一系列广泛的研究问题提供新的见解。例如，选民的构成如何从中期选举转变为总统选举？重新划分选区对选民参与度有何影响？选民如何让政府对经济负责？而且，在影响美国介入外国冲突的支持方面，部署或意外事件起到了什么作用？对这些问题的回答将有助于我们理解如何在世界各地的民主国家保持知情和参与的公民。该项目产生的小组数据集将向学术界提供，并将成为对各种问题感兴趣的学者的重要资源，从态度如何随着时间的推移而变化，重新划分选区的影响，以及选举的管理，并将进一步促进调查研究方法的进步。这些结果可能对评估地区转移和选举管理的先例的影响非常有用。该项目的结果将传达给选举管理人员，特别是通过加州理工学院/麻省理工学院投票技术项目和相关活动。最后，这个项目促进了教育。这笔拨款支持制作与调查相关的教育材料，以便教师可以随时将这项研究和其他小组研究纳入他们的课程，学生可以为他们的论文和其他研究提供结果。

This project supports a 2014 pre- and post-election survey that re-interviews 9,000 citizens nationwide who were originally surveyed during the 2010 and 2012 elections. This will result in one of the largest multi-year election panel surveys ever produced. The panel design provides a way for researcers to better understand how public opinion, political attitudes, and electoral behavior change from one election to the next. The large panel provides sufficient statistical power to measure the dynamics of public opinion within groups, such as ethnic, economic, or partisan groups or within particular areas of the country. As a result, the power of the panel may provide new insights on a wide range of research questions. For example, how does the composition of the electorate change from midterm elections to presidential elections? What is the impact of redistricting on voter engagement? How does the electorate hold the government accountable for the economy? And, what role do deployements or casulties play in affecting support for U.S. involvement in foreign conflicts? The answers to these questions will contribute to our understanding of how to sustain an informed and engaged citizenry in democracies worldwide.The panel dataset produced by this project will be made available to the scholarly community and will be an important resource for scholars interested in a wide variety of questions ranging from how attitudes change over time, the impact of redistricting, and the administration of elections, and will additionally contribute to the advancement of survey research methods. The results may be highly useful in assessing the effects of shifts in district and preceints on election administration. The results of the project will be communicated to election administrators, especially through the CALTECH/MIT Voting Technology Project and associated activities. Finally, this project fosters education. The grant supports the production of educational materials related to the survey, so that faculty can readily integrate this and other panel studies into their courses and students can the results for their thesis and other research.