Social change and the development of neighborhoods: A demand-oriented decision-making aid for stakeholders in the housing sector

提交的项目是基于过去两年由三个申请者共同实施的已完成的DFG基金项目的先前调查结果。知识转移项目的目的是提供决策援助，使住房部门的利益攸关方能够评估中长期社会趋势对社区和住宅区发展的影响。这个新项目是由三个申请者和三个不同的申请伙伴共同设计的，他们都在住房部门工作。汇集了两家不同的住房公司和一个在住房政策方面非常活跃的大市政府的专业知识，将制定和测试一份程序手册，以调整消费者的要求，与提供商S的行动方针相一致。三个应用合作伙伴Formart NRW Hochtief Solutions作为私人房地产开发商，Unitas例如莱比锡作为住宅合作社，多特蒙德市作为大型和战略性参与的市政当局，涵盖了住房领域广泛的潜在利益相关者。评价工具的开发包括三个模块：第一个模块的目标是从消费者的角度确定关键的区位特征。在这里，之前DFG基金项目的实证结果，以及对申请伙伴的深入了解，是开发决策援助的良好基础。第二个模块是对不同存量区和开发区的区位特征进行评价。在第三个模块中，从消费者S的角度出发，通过不同的场景将需求与存量区和开发区的特点联系起来。将考虑中长期社会趋势，并揭示发展机会。这三个单元是利用科隆/波恩、莱比锡/哈勒和东鲁尔三个地区的案例研究区编写的，将在这些地区测试仪器及其程序。通过建立在三个不同地区的洞察，涵盖了增长、停滞和缩小的城市地区的全部范围，以及可能影响房地产市场的不同因素。作为该项目的关键产品，该手册将成为可转让工具的指南，可供住房部门的不同利益攸关方使用，并适用于其他地区的不同类型社区。这些设想尤其有助于在存量地区和发展地区的需求和供应之间建立质的区别的联系。

The submitted project is building upon the previous findings of the completed DFG-fund project, jointly conducted by the three applicants over the last two years. Aim of the knowledge transfer project is to provide a decision-making aid enabling stakeholders of the housing sector to evaluate the influence of medium- and long-term social trends on the development of neighborhoods and residential locations. The new project is designed as joint venture of the three applicants, together with three different application partners, all engaged in the housing sector. Bringing together the expertise of two different housing corporations and one big municipality which is very active in housing policies, a handbook for a procedure will be developed and tested in order to adjust the requirements of consumers with the provider s course of action. The three application partners formart NRW Hochtief Solutions as private real estate developer, the UNITAS eG Leipzig as residential cooperative, and the City of Dortmund as big and strategically engaged municipality cover a wide range of potential stakeholders in the field of the housing sector. The development of the evaluation tool consists of three modules: The first module targets to identify crucial location characteristics from the perspective of consumers. Here, the empirical results of the previous DFG-fund project, as well as the in-depth knowledge of the application partners are a sound basis for developing a decision-making aid. The second module is about the evaluation of location characteristics of different stock districts and development areas. In a third module the demand from the consumer s perspective and the characteristics of stock districts and development areas are linked via different scenarios. Medium- and long-term social trends will be considered and development opportunities will be revealed. These three modules are compiled using case study areas within the three regions Cologne/Bonn, Leipzig/Halle and Eastern Ruhr Area where the instrument and its procedures will be tested. By building upon the insights in three different regions, the whole spectrum of growing, stagnating and shrinking urban regions is covered, as well as different factors that can influence housing markets. The handbook as the key product of the project will be a guideline for a transferable instrument that can be used by different stakeholders in the housing sector and is applicable to different types of neighborhoods in other regions. The scenarios contribute particularly to a qualitative differentiated linkage of demand and supply in stock as well as development areas.