Social change and the development of neighborhoods: A demand-oriented decision-making aid for stakeholders in the housing sector

提交的项目是建立在已完成的DFG基金项目的先前结果的基础上，该项目由三个申请人在过去两年中共同进行。知识转让项目的目的是提供决策援助，使住房部门的利益攸关方能够评估中长期社会趋势对社区和住宅区发展的影响。新项目是由三个申请人与三个不同的申请伙伴共同设计的，他们都从事住房部门。将两个不同的住房公司和一个在住房政策方面非常活跃的大城市的专门知识结合起来，编写和测试一本程序手册，以便根据供应商的行动方针调整消费者的要求。NRW Hochtief Solutions作为私人真实的房地产开发商、UNITAS eG Leipzig作为住宅合作社以及多特蒙德市作为大型战略性城市的三个应用合作伙伴涵盖了住房领域的广泛潜在利益相关者。评估工具的开发包括三个模块：第一个模块的目标是从消费者的角度来确定关键的位置特征。在这里，以前DFG基金项目的经验结果，以及对应用合作伙伴的深入了解，是开发决策辅助工具的坚实基础。第二个模块是对不同存量区和开发区区位特征的评价。在第三个模块中，从消费者的角度来看，需求和库存区和开发区的特点是通过不同的场景联系起来的。将考虑中长期社会趋势，揭示发展机遇。这三个模块是利用科隆/波恩、莱比锡/哈勒和东鲁尔地区这三个区域内的案例研究地区汇编的，这些地区将测试该仪器及其程序。通过建立在三个不同地区的见解，涵盖了整个范围的增长，停滞和萎缩的城市地区，以及可能影响住房市场的不同因素。该手册作为该项目的主要产品，将成为可转让文书的指南，可供住房部门的不同利益攸关方使用，并适用于其他地区的不同类型的社区。这些设想特别有助于在存量和发展领域中建立有质量差别的供求联系。

The submitted project is building upon the previous findings of the completed DFG-fund project, jointly conducted by the three applicants over the last two years. Aim of the knowledge transfer project is to provide a decision-making aid enabling stakeholders of the housing sector to evaluate the influence of medium- and long-term social trends on the development of neighborhoods and residential locations. The new project is designed as joint venture of the three applicants, together with three different application partners, all engaged in the housing sector. Bringing together the expertise of two different housing corporations and one big municipality which is very active in housing policies, a handbook for a procedure will be developed and tested in order to adjust the requirements of consumers with the provider s course of action. The three application partners formart NRW Hochtief Solutions as private real estate developer, the UNITAS eG Leipzig as residential cooperative, and the City of Dortmund as big and strategically engaged municipality cover a wide range of potential stakeholders in the field of the housing sector. The development of the evaluation tool consists of three modules: The first module targets to identify crucial location characteristics from the perspective of consumers. Here, the empirical results of the previous DFG-fund project, as well as the in-depth knowledge of the application partners are a sound basis for developing a decision-making aid. The second module is about the evaluation of location characteristics of different stock districts and development areas. In a third module the demand from the consumer s perspective and the characteristics of stock districts and development areas are linked via different scenarios. Medium- and long-term social trends will be considered and development opportunities will be revealed. These three modules are compiled using case study areas within the three regions Cologne/Bonn, Leipzig/Halle and Eastern Ruhr Area where the instrument and its procedures will be tested. By building upon the insights in three different regions, the whole spectrum of growing, stagnating and shrinking urban regions is covered, as well as different factors that can influence housing markets. The handbook as the key product of the project will be a guideline for a transferable instrument that can be used by different stakeholders in the housing sector and is applicable to different types of neighborhoods in other regions. The scenarios contribute particularly to a qualitative differentiated linkage of demand and supply in stock as well as development areas.