Dynamics and Perceptions of Ultrahazardous Flooding across the Wildland Urban Interface

荒地城市界面超危险洪水的动态和感知

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    2031535
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 67万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    美国
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助国家:
    美国
  • 起止时间:
    2021-08-01 至 2024-07-31
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

This project explores post-wildfire flooding risks facing communities and neighborhoods that have developed at the base and long the slopes of mountains in the western United States. These kinds of developments have and continue to expand throughout the southwestern and western United States as urban and suburban areas move into wildland areas. Post-wildfire flooding can be ultrahazardous due to its rapid-onset, high-velocity, and erosive potential, leading to debris-laden flows with unpredictable paths. This project will advance understanding of these flood risks, and opportunities for increased flood resilience, considering three interwoven elements: environmental hazards (wildfire, mud/debris, and flooding), the built environment (stormwater infrastructure), and human populations. Working with environmental and socio-economic data from across Riverside County, California – part of the Los Angeles Metropolitan Region– innovative models that integrate the effects of fire, debris basins, and flood control channels on flood and debris hazards will be co-developed with community partners and applied to estimate how exposure varies spatially and over time. Hazard estimates will be combined with household survey data capturing hazard awareness, perceptions, and preparedness to characterize variations in risks and risk perception across the area’s diverse socioeconomic population. This research supports NSF's mission to promote the progress of science and to advance our national welfare by generating both tools and insights to improve flood risk awareness and preparedness, which will save lives, reduce economic losses in future events, and enhance community resilience.Climate change and urban expansion are leading to an escalation of flood and debris risks. Global warming is resulting in more intense and frequent wildfire during Summer and Fall and more intense precipitation in Winter and Spring. Furthermore, awareness and preparedness for flooding is hypothesized to be especially low among residents, particularly because the arid southwest is known for “unpredictable flow path flooding” that occurs after flood controls system are clogged with debris and/or overtopped. This project will advance an innovative stochastic modeling framework for estimating present and future flood and debris hazards facing development – a systematic approach for capturing the uncertainty in rainfall patterns, wildfires, the performance of flood control infrastructure, and climate change. Furthermore, the spatial distribution of hazards will be mapped using fine-resolution flood hazard models and intersected with socioeconomic data and indicators of vulnerability drawn from a household survey of flood awareness and preparedness, yielding important new insights into risks and risk perceptions. Finally, the research team will partner with public works and emergency management personnel from local and state government to co-develop data products and tools for flood risk management, and to make these tools widely available for post-wildfire flood risk management. Publications, software, and data derivatives generated during this project will be made available on the project website, GitHub and public data repositories.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
该项目探讨了野火后面临的社区和社区面临的洪水风险,这些社区和社区在美国西部的山脉的底部和斜坡上发展。随着城市和郊区进入荒地地区,这种开发已经并将继续在美国西南部和西部扩展。野火后的洪水可能是极端危险的,因为它的快速发作,高速和侵蚀的潜力,导致碎片充满流动的不可预测的路径。该项目将促进对这些洪水风险的理解,以及提高洪水复原力的机会,考虑三个相互交织的因素:环境危害(野火,泥浆/碎片和洪水),建筑环境(雨水基础设施)和人口。利用来自洛杉矶大都会区一部分的加州滨江县的环境和社会经济数据,将与社区合作伙伴共同开发创新模型,将火灾、泥石流流域和防洪渠道对洪水和泥石流危害的影响整合在一起,并应用于估计暴露如何随时间和空间变化。灾害估计将与家庭调查数据相结合,收集灾害意识、看法和准备情况,以描述该地区不同社会经济人口的风险和风险看法的变化。这项研究支持了NSF的使命,即通过生成工具和见解来提高洪水风险意识和防范能力,从而促进科学进步和提高我们的国家福利,这将挽救生命,减少未来事件的经济损失,并增强社区的复原力。气候变化和城市扩张正在导致洪水和碎片风险的升级。全球变暖导致夏季和秋季的野火更加强烈和频繁,冬季和春季的降水更加强烈。此外,居民对洪水的认识和准备被假设为特别低,特别是因为干旱的西南部以洪水控制系统被碎片堵塞和/或溢出后发生的“不可预测的流动路径洪水”而闻名。该项目将推进一个创新的随机建模框架,用于估计当前和未来发展面临的洪水和泥石流灾害-一种系统的方法,用于捕获降雨模式,野火,防洪基础设施的性能和气候变化的不确定性。此外,还将使用高分辨率洪水灾害模型绘制灾害的空间分布图,并利用社会经济数据和从一项关于洪水意识和备灾情况的家庭调查中得出的脆弱性指标进行评估,从而对风险和风险认知产生重要的新见解。最后,研究小组将与地方和州政府的公共工程和应急管理人员合作,共同开发洪水风险管理的数据产品和工具,并使这些工具广泛用于野火后的洪水风险管理。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命,并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估,被认为值得支持。

项目成果

期刊论文数量(3)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
Large and inequitable flood risks in Los Angeles, California
加利福尼亚州洛杉矶存在巨大且不公平的洪水风险
  • DOI:
    10.1038/s41893-022-00977-7
  • 发表时间:
    2023
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    27.6
  • 作者:
    Sanders, Brett F.;Schubert, Jochen E.;Kahl, Daniel T.;Mach, Katharine J.;Brady, David;AghaKouchak, Amir;Forman, Fonna;Matthew, Richard A.;Ulibarri, Nicola;Davis, Steven J.
  • 通讯作者:
    Davis, Steven J.
Compound Post‐Fire Flood Hazards Considering Infrastructure Sedimentation
  • DOI:
    10.1029/2022ef002670
  • 发表时间:
    2022-07
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Ariane Jong‐Levinger;T. Banerjee;Douglas Houston;B. Sanders
  • 通讯作者:
    Ariane Jong‐Levinger;T. Banerjee;Douglas Houston;B. Sanders
Grid edge classification method to enhance levee resolution in dual-grid flood inundation models
双网格洪水淹没模型中增强堤坝分辨率的网格边缘分类方法
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.advwatres.2022.104287
  • 发表时间:
    2022
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    4.7
  • 作者:
    Kahl, Daniel T.;Schubert, Jochen E.;Jong-Levinger, Ariane;Sanders, Brett F.
  • 通讯作者:
    Sanders, Brett F.
{{ item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
  • DOI:
    {{ item.doi }}
  • 发表时间:
    {{ item.publish_year }}
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    {{ item.factor }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.authors }}
  • 通讯作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ journalArticles.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ monograph.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ sciAawards.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ conferencePapers.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ patent.updateTime }}

Brett Sanders其他文献

P15—Environmental fate and transport modeling for perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) emitted from the Washington Works facility
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.reprotox.2011.11.049
  • 发表时间:
    2012-07-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Hyeong-Moo Shin;Verónica Vieira;P. Barry Ryan;Russell Detwiler;Brett Sanders;Kyle Steenland;Scott Bartell
  • 通讯作者:
    Scott Bartell
Preoperative language mapping using navigated TMS compared with extra-operative direct cortical stimulation using intracranial electrodes: A case report
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.seizure.2020.01.019
  • 发表时间:
    2020-03-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Fahmida A. Chowdhury;Lorenzo Caciagli;Benjamin P. Whatley;Charlotte McLaughlin;Brett Sanders;Tim Wehner;Beate Diehl
  • 通讯作者:
    Beate Diehl
Revision shoulder arthroplasty: predictors of subsequent revision surgery and economic burden amongst Medicare beneficiaries
翻修肩部关节成形术:医疗保险受益人群后续翻修手术的预测因素及经济负担
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.jse.2024.07.033
  • 发表时间:
    2025-04-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    2.900
  • 作者:
    The Avant-Garde Health and Codman Shoulder Society Value-Based Care Group;Adam Z. Khan;Harry H. Liu;John G. Costouros;Matthew J. Best;Catherine J. Fedorka;Brett Sanders;Joseph A. Abboud;Jon J.P. Warner;Mohamad Y. Fares;Jacob M. Kirsch;Jason E. Simon;Evan A. O'Donnell;Jarret Woodmass;April D. Armstrong;Xiaoran Zhang;Ana Paula Beck da Silva Etges;Porter Jones;Derek A. Haas;Michael B. Gottschalk
  • 通讯作者:
    Michael B. Gottschalk
An updated review on the principles of intraoperative neurophysiological monitoring and the anaesthetic considerations
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.mpaic.2022.10.009
  • 发表时间:
    2022-12-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Brett Sanders;Santiago Catania;Astri MV. Luoma
  • 通讯作者:
    Astri MV. Luoma
Principles of intraoperative neurophysiological monitoring and anaesthetic considerations
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.mpaic.2019.10.020
  • 发表时间:
    2020-01-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Brett Sanders;Santiago Catania;Astri MV. Luoma
  • 通讯作者:
    Astri MV. Luoma

Brett Sanders的其他文献

{{ item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
  • DOI:
    {{ item.doi }}
  • 发表时间:
    {{ item.publish_year }}
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    {{ item.factor }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.authors }}
  • 通讯作者:
    {{ item.author }}

{{ truncateString('Brett Sanders', 18)}}的其他基金

Hazards SEES Type 2: Preventing Flood Hazards from Becoming Disasters through Two-Way Communication of Parcel-Level Flood Risk
灾害 SEES 类型 2:通过地块级洪水风险的双向沟通​​,防止洪水灾害演变成灾难
  • 批准号:
    1331611
  • 财政年份:
    2013
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Prediction and Mitigation of Beach Overwash and Resultant Urban Flooding in Coastal California
加利福尼亚州沿海海滩过度冲刷及由此产生的城市洪水的预测和缓解
  • 批准号:
    1129730
  • 财政年份:
    2011
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Data Integration and Model Development to Mitigate Urban Flooding Hazards Linked to Sea Level Rise
数据集成和模型开发,以减轻与海平面上升相关的城市洪水灾害
  • 批准号:
    0825165
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
CAREER: Mitigation of Pollution Hazards in Ephemeral Streams and Estuaries; A Plan for Research and Education in Environmental Hydraulics
职业:减轻短暂河流和河口的污染危害;
  • 批准号:
    9984579
  • 财政年份:
    2000
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant

相似海外基金

Postdoctoral Fellowship: STEMEdIPRF: Towards a Diverse Professoriate: Experiences that Inform Underrepresented Scholars' Perceptions of Value Alignment and Career Decisions
博士后奖学金:STEMEdIPRF:走向多元化的教授职称:为代表性不足的学者对价值调整和职业决策的看法提供信息的经验
  • 批准号:
    2327411
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Heian Jingu and Jidai Matsuri: Changing Meanings and Perceptions from Their Creation to the Present
平安神宫和时代祭:从其诞生到现在的意义和认知的变化
  • 批准号:
    24K03398
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
Perceptions, practices, autonomy levels and other variations among teachers who use AI teaching tools
使用人工智能教学工具的教师的认知、实践、自主水平和其他差异
  • 批准号:
    24K16628
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
Postdoctoral Fellowship: STEMEdIPRF: Increasing geoscience enrollment and engagement by transforming perceptions of geoscience among students and the general public
博士后奖学金:STEMEdIPRF:通过改变学生和公众对地球科学的看法来增加地球科学的入学率和参与度
  • 批准号:
    2327348
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: U.S. institutions after COVID-19: Trust, accountability, and public perceptions
合作研究:COVID-19 后的美国机构:信任、责任和公众看法
  • 批准号:
    2422394
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Mindset Dynamics: Using the Perception Clarity Methodology (PCM) to shift perceptions
心态动态:使用感知清晰度方法 (PCM) 来转变认知
  • 批准号:
    ES/Y011015/1
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
Reframing arrival: Transnational perspectives on perceptions, governance and practices - REFRAME.
重构到来:关于认知、治理和实践的跨国视角 - REFRAME。
  • 批准号:
    AH/Y00759X/1
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Research Grant
RAPID: DRL AI: Understanding Perceptions and Use of AI in K-12 Education Using a Nationally Representative Sample
RAPID:DRL AI:使用全国代表性样本了解 K-12 教育中 AI 的认知和使用
  • 批准号:
    2334172
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Assessing the Influence of SDGs Formulation on Managers' Perceptions and CSR Activities: An Attention-based View
评估可持续发展目标制定对管理者认知和企业社会责任活动的影响:基于注意力的观点
  • 批准号:
    23K01515
  • 财政年份:
    2023
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
Investigation of Faculty Perceptions of Course-based Undergraduate Research Experiences and Barriers to their Implementation
教师对基于课程的本科生研究经验的看法及其实施障碍的调查
  • 批准号:
    2235568
  • 财政年份:
    2023
  • 资助金额:
    $ 67万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
{{ showInfoDetail.title }}

作者:{{ showInfoDetail.author }}

知道了