DISES: Pathways and constraints to adaptation in coastal social-environmental systems

疾病：沿海社会环境系统适应的途径和限制

• 批准号: 2108566
• 负责人: Fiorenza Micheli
• 金额: $ 159.91万
• 依托单位: Stanford University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-09-01 至 2025-08-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2108566&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: DISES; Pathways; constraints; adaptation; coastal

Coastal ecosystems and communities around the world are affected by an increasingly variable climate, and shocks from market, political and social change, including the current COVID-19 pandemic. This award will focus on small scale fisheries that produce two thirds of the seafood consumed annually and are critical to the food security and livelihoods of hundreds of millions of people. The award’s research will illuminate the processes and conditions that promote the resilience of coastal communities and ecosystems to global change. This knowledge is crucial for supporting adaptation to change, and for effective decision making under risk and uncertainty. The research will explore food security and social stability, informing adaptation to climate change and market shocks in the California Current system, and building capacity for students, researchers and citizens to address global challenges in both national and international settings.Researchers will combine oceanographic and ecological field studies, and biophysical and bioeconomic models to advance understanding of the role of environmental, social and market change on the dynamics of marine populations, fisheries and coastal economies. Specifically the award will address: (1) the increase understanding of how regional environmental drivers, local conditions, and changes in fishing pressure and patterns affect resilience through nearshore oceanographic, ecological and fisheries monitoring; (2) forecast outcomes, risks and benefits of adaptive actions through statistical analyses and bioeconomic models; (3) assess risk perception, constraints and social outcomes of alternative adaptation pathways through surveys with stakeholders; and (4) build and test a theory of adaptive capacity (the constraints, preferences, and information used to support decision-making under risk and uncertainty) to determine whether adaptive capacity is context-specific. Behavioral economics field experiments and analyses of social drivers and institutions will provide new insights into adaptive strategies and the resilience of socio-environmental coastal systems, and how marine users perceive and deal with risk, rapid change, and uncertainty. The project will inform adaptation and resilience to climate, social, market and political change in coastal communities around the world, and will provide a generalizable model for participatory co-production of knowledge and its application to marine and coastal management and adaptation.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

世界各地的沿海生态系统和社区受到日益多变的气候以及市场、政治和社会变化（包括当前的 COVID-19 大流行）的冲击的影响。该奖项将重点关注小规模渔业，这些渔业生产的海鲜占每年消费量的三分之二，对数亿人的粮食安全和生计至关重要。该奖项的研究将阐明促进沿海社区和生态系统应对全球变化的复原力的过程和条件。这些知识对于支持适应变化以及在风险和不确定性下做出有效决策至关重要。该研究将探讨粮食安全和社会稳定，为加州洋流系统适应气候变化和市场冲击提供信息，并培养学生、研究人员和公民在国家和国际环境下应对全球挑战的能力。研究人员将结合海洋学和生态实地研究以及生物物理和生物经济模型，以加深对环境、社会和市场变化对海洋人口、渔业和沿海经济动态的作用的理解。具体而言，该奖项将解决：（1）通过近岸海洋学、生态和渔业监测，加深对区域环境驱动因素、当地条件以及捕捞压力和模式变化如何影响恢复力的了解； (2) 通过统计分析和生物经济模型预测适应行动的结果、风险和效益； (3) 通过与利益相关者的调查，评估替代适应途径的风险认知、限制和社会结果； (4) 建立并测试适应能力理论（用于支持风险和不确定性下决策的约束、偏好和信息），以确定适应能力是否针对具体情况。行为经济学现场实验以及对社会驱动因素和制度的分析将为适应策略和社会环境沿海系统的恢复力以及海洋用户如何感知和应对风险、快速变化和不确定性提供新的见解。该项目将为世界各地沿海社区的气候、社会、市场和政治变化的适应和恢复力提供信息，并将为参与性共同生产知识及其在海洋和沿海管理和适应中的应用提供一个通用模型。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

项目成果

Rapid recovery of depleted abalone in Isla Natividad, Baja California, Mexico

墨西哥下加利福尼亚州纳蒂维达岛枯竭的鲍鱼快速恢复

• DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.4002
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Ecosphere
• 影响因子: 2.7
• 作者: Smith, Alexandra;Aguilar, Juan Domingo;Boch, Charles;De Leo, Giulio;Hernández‐Velasco, Arturo;Houck, Stephanie;Martinez, Ramón;Monismith, Stephen;Torre, Jorge;Woodson, C. Brock
• 通讯作者: Woodson, C. Brock

Two Decades of Community-Based Marine Conservation Provide the Foundations for Future Action

以社区为基础的海洋保护的两个十年为未来的行动奠定了基础

• DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.893104
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Frontiers in Marine Science
• 影响因子: 3.7
• 作者: Villaseñor-Derbez, Juan Carlos;Amador-Castro, Imelda G.;Hernández-Velasco, Arturo;Torre, Jorge;Fulton, Stuart
• 通讯作者: Fulton, Stuart

Shortfalls in the protection of persistent bull kelp forests in the USA

美国持久性巨藻森林的保护不足

• DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2023.110133
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Biological Conservation
• 影响因子: 5.9
• 作者: Arafeh-Dalmau, Nur;Olguín-Jacobson, Carolina;Bell, Tom W.;Micheli, Fiorenza;Cavanaugh, Kyle C.
• 通讯作者: Cavanaugh, Kyle C.

Corrigendum: Unveiling Women's Roles and Inclusion in Mexican Small-Scale Fisheries (SSF)

勘误表：揭示妇女在墨西哥小规模渔业 (SSF) 中的角色和包容性

• DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.671064
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Frontiers in Marine Science
• 影响因子: 3.7
• 作者: Solano, Neyra;Lopez-Ercilla, Ines;Fernandez-Rivera Melo, Francisco J.;Torre, Jorge
• 通讯作者: Torre, Jorge

Modelling the effect of habitat and fishing heterogeneity on the performance of a Total Allowable Catch-regulated fishery

模拟栖息地和捕捞异质性对总允许捕捞量调节渔业绩效的影响

• DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsac067
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: ICES Journal of Marine Science
• 影响因子: 3.3
• 作者: Pourtois, Julie D.;Provost, Mikaela M.;Micheli, Fiorenza;De Leo, Giulio A.;Kaplan, ed., David
• 通讯作者: Kaplan, ed., David