Collaborative Research: CPS: Medium: Population Games for Cyber-Physical Systems: New Theory with Tools for Transportation Management under Extreme Demand
合作研究:CPS:媒介:网络物理系统的群体博弈:极端需求下运输管理的新理论和工具
基本信息
- 批准号:2135791
- 负责人:
- 金额:$ 80.97万
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:美国
- 项目类别:Standard Grant
- 财政年份:2022
- 资助国家:美国
- 起止时间:2022-01-01 至 2024-12-31
- 项目状态:已结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
A sudden surge in demand in traffic networks disrupts the equilibrium conditions upon which these networks are planned and operated. Lack of understanding of the population's strategic choices under extreme demand may result in paradoxical outcomes, such as evacuations aiming to save lives instead resulting in mass casualties on the road or opening up of new roads increasing rather than decreasing travel time. This project will devise systems and procedures for managing the strategic choices of populations (e.g., whether to evacuate or shelter in place, which escape routes to take) and the actions of the authorities (e.g., which zones to evacuate and in which sequence, where to route the traffic, whether to close some roads or open extra lanes in a given direction). The tools resulting from this project will enable better response systems to assist local authorities in managing extreme demand, such as when entire counties have to be evacuated to protect the residents from a wildfire. The project will develop a modeling and simulation tool chain to predict traffic bottleneck locations and their severity together with expected travel times and delays, thus determining the spectrum of outcomes, identifying worst cases, and enabling the authorities to make informed decisions.The technical approach is rooted in population games, which model the dynamics of strategic noncooperative interactions among large populations of agents competing for resources. The project, however, will depart from the equilibrium focus of the existing theory and will offer transient analysis tools that account for not only the strategy revisions of the agents, but also a host of cyber and physical dynamics, such as queueing dynamics in traffic flow, responsive signal control at intersections, information dissemination to agents, and evolution of hazards, such as fire propagation. The research tasks to enable the project's vision of a "cyber-physical population game theory" include characterizing transient behavior with system-theoretic methods, accounting for uncertainty in strategy revision models, extending the theory to a continuum of user preferences, rethinking the stochastic processes underlying the dynamical models, modifying the theory for short-term horizons for time-critical operations, learning dynamical models from data, and formulating extensive form games between a population and a single agent, motivated by the population response to evacuation orders. In addition, the project will identify control actions (such as responsive signal policies, road closures, disabling certain turns) to close the data-decision-action loop and steer the dynamics towards desirable outcomes and avoiding unsafe ones.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
交通网络需求的突然激增破坏了这些网络规划和运行所依据的平衡条件。缺乏对人口在极端需求下的战略选择的理解可能会导致矛盾的结果,例如旨在挽救生命的疏散而不是导致道路上的大规模伤亡,或者开辟新的道路增加而不是减少旅行时间。该项目将设计系统和程序来管理人口的战略选择(例如,是否疏散或就地避难,采取哪些逃生路线)和当局的行动(例如,哪些区域和顺序疏散,在哪里安排交通,是否关闭某些道路或在某个方向上开辟额外的车道)。该项目产生的工具将使更好的响应系统能够协助地方当局管理极端需求,例如当整个县必须疏散以保护居民免受野火侵害时。该项目将开发一个建模和仿真工具链,以预测交通瓶颈的位置及其严重程度,以及预期的出行时间和延误,从而确定结果的范围,识别最坏的情况,使当局能够做出明智的决策。该技术方法植根于人口博弈,它模拟了大量竞争资源的代理之间的战略非合作互动的动态。然而,该项目将脱离现有理论的均衡焦点,并将提供瞬态分析工具,不仅考虑代理的策略修订,还考虑大量网络和物理动态,如交通流中的排队动态、十字路口的响应性信号控制、向代理的信息传播以及火灾传播等危害的演变。实现该项目“网络-物理人口博弈论”愿景的研究任务包括:用系统理论方法表征瞬态行为、考虑策略修正模型中的不确定性、将理论扩展到用户偏好的连续体、重新思考动态模型基础上的随机过程、修改理论以适应时间关键型操作的短期视野、从数据中学习动态模型。在一个群体和一个个体之间形成了广泛的博弈形式,由群体对疏散命令的反应所驱动。此外,该项目将确定控制行动(如响应信号政策、封路、禁用某些转弯),以关闭数据-决策-行动循环,引导动态走向理想的结果,避免不安全的结果。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命,并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估,被认为值得支持。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(1)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
Population Games With Erlang Clocks: Convergence to Nash Equilibria For Pairwise Comparison Dynamics
- DOI:10.1109/cdc51059.2022.9993228
- 发表时间:2022-04
- 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:Semih Kara;N. C. Martins;M. Arcak
- 通讯作者:Semih Kara;N. C. Martins;M. Arcak
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Murat Arcak其他文献
Editorial to the collection of papers dedicated to Eduardo D. Sontag on the occasion of his 70th birthday
- DOI:
10.1007/s00498-024-00381-w - 发表时间:
2024-02-23 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:1.800
- 作者:
Murat Arcak;Yacine Chitour;Patrick De Leenheer;Lars Grüne - 通讯作者:
Lars Grüne
Synthesizing Neural Network Controllers with Closed-Loop Dissipativity Guarantees
综合具有闭环耗散保证的神经网络控制器
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2024 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Neelay Junnarkar;Murat Arcak;Peter Seiler - 通讯作者:
Peter Seiler
Feedback tuning of bifurcations
分岔的反馈调整
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2003 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Luc Moreau;E. D. Sontag;Murat Arcak - 通讯作者:
Murat Arcak
Symmetry-based Abstraction Algorithm for Accelerating Symbolic Control Synthesis
基于对称性的加速符号控制综合的抽象算法
- DOI:
- 发表时间:
2024 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:0
- 作者:
Hussein Sibai;Sacha Huriot;Tyler Martin;Murat Arcak - 通讯作者:
Murat Arcak
Symmetry reduction for dynamic programming
- DOI:
10.1016/j.automatica.2018.08.024 - 发表时间:
2018-11-01 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:
- 作者:
John Maidens;Axel Barrau;Silvère Bonnabel;Murat Arcak - 通讯作者:
Murat Arcak
Murat Arcak的其他文献
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{{ truncateString('Murat Arcak', 18)}}的其他基金
Scalable Symbolic Control: Computationally Efficient Design of Feedback Control Algorithms to Satisfy Complex Requirements
可扩展的符号控制:满足复杂要求的反馈控制算法的计算高效设计
- 批准号:
1906164 - 财政年份:2019
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
CPS: Synergy: Collaborative Research: Efficient Traffic Management: A Formal Methods Approach
CPS:协同:协作研究:高效交通管理:形式化方法
- 批准号:
1446145 - 财政年份:2015
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
A compositional approach for performance certification of large-scale engineering systems
大型工程系统性能认证的组合方法
- 批准号:
1405413 - 财政年份:2014
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Diffusively Coupled Networks: Synchronization, De-Synchronization, and Structure
扩散耦合网络:同步、去同步和结构
- 批准号:
1101876 - 财政年份:2011
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
A Structurally-Based Approach to Nonlinear Analysis and Design of Networks
基于结构的网络非线性分析和设计方法
- 批准号:
0852750 - 财政年份:2008
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
A Structurally-Based Approach to Nonlinear Analysis and Design of Networks
基于结构的网络非线性分析和设计方法
- 批准号:
0801389 - 财政年份:2008
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Northeast Student Workshop On Nonlinear and Hybrid Control. The workshop will be held at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute on April 1-2, 2005.
东北学生非线性和混合控制研讨会。
- 批准号:
0456957 - 财政年份:2005
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
CAREER: Structure and Robustness in Nonlinear Control: Challenges from Fuel Cell Technology
职业:非线性控制的结构和鲁棒性:燃料电池技术的挑战
- 批准号:
0238268 - 财政年份:2003
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Exploratory Research On Fuel Cell Control: Design Challenges For Emerging Applications
燃料电池控制的探索性研究:新兴应用的设计挑战
- 批准号:
0226094 - 财政年份:2002
- 资助金额:
$ 80.97万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
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