Consumption-portfolio choice and asset pricing with preferences for social status

社会地位偏好下的消费组合选择和资产定价

• 批准号: 420492791
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Holger Kraft
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Abteilung Finanzen
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2018-12-31 至 2022-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/420492791?language=en
• 关键词: Consumption; portfolio; choice; asset; pricing

Benchmarking own achievements is a process that is inherent in today’s society. For instance, adults use income to benchmark themselves against colleagues or neighbors. Following these ideas, our project studies the effects of social interaction on financial decisions of individuals and asset prices. The utility specification proposed in our project captures some essential aspects of our lives, namely getting ahead of our peers or feelings of envy. In particular, these preferences for social status capture the empirical evidence that agents benchmark their consumption and/or wealth against their peers. This leads to involved interlinked decision problems that can be formally described as stochastic differential games. Our project contributes to two fields of Finance, namely, consumption-portfolio choice and equilibrium asset pricing. In the first case, we analyze how financial decisions of agents change when they are benchmarked against peers. Our formulation gives rise to additional hedging motives that are not present in standard models. A potential application is the effect on the decisions of fund managers. The performance of actively managed funds can be evaluated in two dimensions: First, one can measure the relative performance with respect to a passive benchmark such as the S&P 500 that is exogenously given. Second, one can compare the fund performance with the performance of funds in the same category. The latter has become increasingly important since the mid of the 90s when, among others, Morningstar Inc. introduced peer-group based fund rankings. We would like to analyze in which direction the decisions of fund managers are tilted if they are benchmarked against their peers. In particular, it is crucial to understand how peer-group based rankings influence the portfolio strategies in a financial crisis. This is because systematic distortions of the demands for certain assets can severely amplify the effects of a crisis.In the case of equilibrium asset pricing, we extend our analysis of social preferences into another direction: Instead of considering the effect of contemporaneous benchmarking on the asset demands of individuals, we study a general equilibrium setting where market clearing conditions are imposed. In such a setting, we can solve for the equilibrium stock return, stock volatility, risk-free rate, and market price of risk. We can thus address the question of whether preferences for social status can contribute to explaining various asset pricing phenomena in an economy that are at the heart of asset pricing such as the famous equity premium puzzle or the excess volatility puzzle. Furthermore, we can derive the dynamics of an economy-wide benchmark that is consistent with a general equilibrium setting. Finally, our model generates endogenous predictability of asset pricing moments that, by the flexibility of the model, can be calibrated to predictability patterns as observed in the data.

衡量自己的成就是当今社会固有的一个过程。例如，成年人用收入来衡量自己与同事或邻居的对比。根据这些想法，我们的项目研究了社会互动对个人财务决策和资产价格的影响。在我们的项目中提出的实用程序规范捕捉了我们生活中的一些基本方面，即超越我们的同龄人或嫉妒的感觉。特别是，这些对社会地位的偏好捕捉到了经验证据，即代理人将他们的消费和/或财富与同龄人进行比较。这导致了相关的决策问题，可以正式描述为随机微分博弈。我们的项目有助于两个领域的金融，即消费投资组合选择和均衡资产定价。在第一种情况下，我们分析了代理人的财务决策如何改变时，他们对同行的基准。我们的公式产生了额外的对冲动机，不存在于标准模型。一个潜在的应用是对基金经理决策的影响。主动管理型基金的业绩可以从两个方面进行评估：第一，可以衡量相对于被动基准（如标准普尔500指数）的相对业绩。第二，可以将基金业绩与同类基金业绩进行比较。自90年代中期以来，后者变得越来越重要，其中包括晨星公司。引入了基于同行群体的基金排名。我们想分析一下，如果将基金经理与同行进行比较，他们的决策会向哪个方向倾斜。特别是，它是至关重要的，以了解如何同行群体为基础的排名影响投资组合策略在金融危机中。这是因为对某些资产的需求的系统性扭曲会严重放大危机的影响。在均衡资产定价的情况下，我们将社会偏好的分析扩展到另一个方向：我们研究的不是同期基准对个人资产需求的影响，而是施加市场清算条件的一般均衡设置。在这样的设定下，我们可以求解均衡股票收益率、股票波动率、无风险利率和风险的市场价格。因此，我们可以回答这样一个问题：社会地位偏好是否有助于解释经济中各种资产定价现象，这些现象是资产定价的核心，比如著名的股权溢价之谜或过度波动之谜。此外，我们可以推导出一个与一般均衡设置一致的经济范围内的基准的动态。最后，我们的模型产生了内生的可预测性的资产定价时刻，模型的灵活性，可以校准的可预测性模式中观察到的数据。