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Theoretical and Empirical Study on the Economic Liberalization Process and the Effect on the Manufacturing Sector in the Philippines

菲律宾经济自由化进程及其对制造业影响的理论与实证研究

基本信息

批准号：
05832009
负责人：
MORISAWA Keiko
金额：
$ 1.28万
依托单位：
OSAKA CITY UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
1993
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1993 至 1994
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

(1) First of all in this research, I have analyzed the tendency of foreign direct investment, the structure of Philippine export and the industrial structure in the Philippines since 1980's and identified the followings : the manufacturing exports, specifically the export of elect. & electronics and apparels (mainly on consignment base) have increased quickly since 1980's, however, the structural change of the manufacturing sector did not carry out successfully and as the result, the stagnation of Philippine manufacturing sector could not be broken during 980's. The main reason is that the interest stuructures surrounding the manufacturing sector did not changed and as the result, unchanged interest structures continued to the inpediment for the structural change of the manufacturing sector during 1980's.The legal system for the liberalization of the Philippine economy (foreign direct investment law, external trade system and financial system etc.) has not prepared well until mid-1990' … More s.(2) Secondly, in this research, I focused on the trade liberalization process, specifically on AFTA (Asean Free Trade Area) which was considered as the important progress for the trade liberalization process. I analyzed AFTA focusing on the decision making process of both business circle and government for the agreement and then considered the effect on the Philippine economy. The effect of AFTA is that (a) at first, the business circle in the Philippines have finally identified by themselves that the high protective system for the Philippine manufacturing sector was finally being destroyed and this process could not be reversed anymore. (b) secondly, I forecasted the effect of AFTA on the Philippine economy focusing on the elect.& electronics industry of the Philippines which was the biggest ezports with ASEAN in value. Based on this analysis, I have forecasted that AFTA will encourage not only the horizontal division of labor and intra-industry trade but also the export of the materials and inputs of machinary-manufactures whithin ASEAN.(4) Aside from the empirical study of the strructural reform of the Philippine manufacturing sector, I have studied the theoretical method for analyzing the liberalization process of the Philippine economy and the effect. I have considered the "political Economy" is the most appropriate method for analyzing them and tried to apply the method creatively to the analysis of teh Philippine economy in detail. Less

(1)在本研究中，我首先分析了1980年代以来外国直接投资的趋势、菲律宾的出口结构和菲律宾的产业结构，并确定了以下内容：制造业出口，特别是电子产品出口。电子和服装（主要以寄售为主）自1980年代以来增长迅速，但制造业的结构变革未能顺利进行，导致菲律宾制造业在980年代停滞不前。主要原因是围绕制造业的利益结构没有发生变化，因此，未变化的利益结构继续成为1980年代制造业结构变迁的障碍。菲律宾经济自由化的法律体系（外商直接投资法、对外贸易体系和金融体系等）直到1990年中期才准备好。（2）其次，在本研究中，我关注的是贸易自由化特别是AFTA（东盟自由贸易区）被认为是贸易自由化进程的重要进展。我分析了AFTA，重点关注了工商界和政府双方对该协议的决策过程，然后考虑了它对菲律宾经济的影响。 AFTA的效果是：（一）首先，菲律宾工商界最终自己认识到，菲律宾制造业的高度保护体系终于被摧毁，这个过程再也无法逆转。 (b) 其次，我预测了 AFTA 对菲律宾经济的影响，重点关注菲律宾的电子电子行业，该行业是与东盟价值最大的电子出口。基于这一分析，我预测AFTA不仅会鼓励横向分工和产业内贸易，而且会鼓励东盟内部的材料和机械制造业投入品的出口。(4)除了对菲律宾制造业结构性改革的实证研究外，我还研究了分析菲律宾经济自由化进程及其效果的理论方法。我认为“政治经济学”是最合适的分析方法，并尝试创造性地运用该方法对菲律宾经济进行详细分析。较少的