Theoretical and Empirical Studies on Productivity, Changes in Industrial Structure, and Economic Growth in East Asia

本研究项目利用宏观经济和微观经济数据，包括企业层面、区域层面和商品层面的数据，对东亚国家的生产率、产业结构变化和经济增长进行了理论和实证研究。实证研究包括：(1)利用微观数据分析区域贸易协定对非成员国出口和国外生产的影响；(2)利用地区和企业层面的数据分析中国区域条件对日本子公司区位选择的影响；(3)基于包括企业层面数据在内的日本各种统计数据进行计量分析，主题包括亚洲与工业化国家研发对FDI的影响比较，以及企业层面特征与国外外包的关系，(4)基于…框架的日美东亚宏观经济联动模型的构建(5)利用自己建立的非参数计量经济学模型对东亚国家和地区的宏观需求和供给冲击进行了估计，并通过观察估计冲击的相关性考察了这一领域的相互依存性；(6)考察了外资企业和内资企业的生产率差异以及出口、外商直接投资和企业生产率之间的关系；(7)利用国际商品流动数据检验相同和相似消费者偏好作为HOV模型的基本假设对实体经济的适用性。理论研究包括：(1)两阶段创新过程、R&D和创业活动的内生增长模型的建立和新发现的推导；R&D效率的提高可能不会带来更快的增长，在创业活动水平低于R&D活动的经济体中，R&D补贴会抑制经济增长，而创业效率的提高和创业活动补贴总是会导致更快的增长，(2)新讨价还价理论的发展将应用于国际贸易和环境，(3)对有效贸易政策的理论考察，以补救通常被认为是经济增长不利副产品的跨境污染。在本研究期间，举行了两次国际会议和一次地区会议，来自国内外的与会者参加了会议。其中对研究成果进行了报告和讨论。较少

This research project has conducted both the theoretical and empirical studies on the productivity, the changes in industrial structure, and economic growth in East Asian countries, by using macroeconomic and microeconomic data including firm-level, region-specific and commodity data. The empirical studies include (1)the analysis of the effect of the regional trade agreements on exports and foreign production of non-member countries, by using micro data, (2)the analysis of the effects of Chinese regional conditions on the location choice of Japanese affiliates, by using regional and firm-level data, (3)the econometric analyses, based on various Japanese statistics including firm-level data, of the topics include the comparison of the impact of R&D on FDI in Asia vs. industrialized countries, and the relationship between firm-level characteristics and the foreign outsourcing, (4)the development of the model on the macroeconomic interlinkage between Japan, US and East Asia using the fram … More ework of "New Open Macroeconomics" and the simulation method to study what kind of basket weights are optimal for East Asia, from the viewpoint of trade balance stabilization, (5)the estimation of macro demand and supply shocks in the countries and areas in East Asia by using the nonparametric econometric model developed by himself and investigated the interdependence in this area by observing the correlation of the estimated shocks, (6)the examinations of the difference of productivity between foreign-owned and domestically-owned firms and the relationship among exports, foreign direct investment, and productivity of the firm, (7)the test of the applicability of the identical and homothetic consumer's preference as a basic assumption of HOV model to the real economy by using international commodity flow data.The theoretical studies include (1)the development of endogenous growth model with a two-stage innovation process, R&D and entrepreneurship activity, and the derivation of new findings ; the improvement of the efficiency of R&D may not lead to faster growth, subsidies on R&D depress economic growth in the economy in which the level of entrepreneurship activity is lower than that of R&D activity, and the improvement of the efficiency of entrepreneurship and subsidies on entrepreneurship activity always causes faster growth, (2)the development of new bargaining theory to be applied to international trade and environment, (3)the theoretical examination of effective trade policies to remedy transboundary pollution, which is often thought of as unfavorable byproducts of economic growth.During the period of this research, two international and one regional conferences were held with the participants from foreign and home, in which research results were reported and discussed. Less