A Game-Theoretical Analysis of International Intervention in Civil Wars after the End of the Cold War

冷战结束后国际干预内战的博弈论分析

• 批准号: 16530103
• 负责人: ISHIDA Atsushi
• 金额: $ 2.18万
• 依托单位: The University of Tokyo
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2004 至 2006
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-16530103/
• 关键词: civil war; international order; border λ'; game theory; 不干渉原則; 武力不行使原則

The primary purpose of this research is to identify the political logic of reciprocal reconfiguration between domestic and international orders. We conceptualize that political order of a given society (whether it is a society of men or a society of states) hinges on the intersubjective understanding of legitimate membership of the society and the rightful action among its members. Therefore, political order changes when either the legitimate membership or the rightful action changes.On the one hand, the collapse of empires, as has been historically observed in the wake of the First World War, the second World War, and the Cold War, has been a product of the changing legitimate membership of the society of states. This process inevitably changed territorial boundaries of autonomous polities (i.e., sovereign states). And this territorial change often had some destabilizing impact on the local distribution of power between the would-be ruler and the would-be ruled within a newly independent state.On the other hand, the stability of a local political order would require the cancellation of this change in the local distribution of power between the ruler and the ruled. For this reason, the international community has often justified their intervention in individual states for the very purpose of politically offsetting this change by claiming that the problems at stake are indeed international.In this research, a political scientist (Atsushi Ishida) and an economist (Kaoru Ishiguro) cooperated across the intellectual border between their disciplines and have attempted to synthesize theories of the origins of civil wars with those of the causes and consequences of international intervention.Ishida's "The Political Logic of Reciprocal Reconfiguration between Domestic and International Orders : Constitutional Orders for Political Coexistence" and Ishiguro's "International Intervention to Political Reforms in Post-Conflict Societies" are two major results of our research.

本研究的主要目的是确定国内秩序与国际秩序相互重构的政治逻辑。我们的概念是，一个特定社会（无论是人的社会还是国家的社会）的政治秩序取决于对社会合法成员及其成员之间合法行为的主体间理解。因此，当合法成员或合法行为发生变化时，政治秩序就会发生变化。一方面，正如历史上在第一次世界大战、第二次世界大战和冷战之后所观察到的那样，帝国的崩溃是国家社会合法成员变化的产物。这一过程不可避免地改变了自治政体（即主权国家）的领土边界。这种领土的变化通常会对一个新独立的国家中潜在统治者和被统治者之间的权力分配产生一些不稳定的影响。另一方面，地方政治秩序的稳定将要求取消这种在统治者和被统治者之间的地方权力分配的变化。出于这个原因，国际社会经常为其对个别国家的干预辩护，其目的正是通过声称利害攸关的问题确实是国际性的，从而在政治上抵消这种变化。在这项研究中，一位政治学家（石田硕）和一位经济学家（石黑馨）跨越各自学科之间的知识边界进行合作，试图将内战起源的理论与国际干预的原因和后果的理论综合起来。石田的《国内秩序与国际秩序相互重构的政治逻辑：政治共存的宪政秩序》和石黑一雄的《冲突后社会政治改革的国际干预》是我们研究的两个主要成果。

项目成果

International Intervention to Political Reforms in Post-conflict Societies

国际干预冲突后社会的政治改革

• 发表时间: 2010
• 期刊: Kobe University Economic Review 55
• 作者: K. Yoshida;M. Sejima;S. Fujimoto;K. Ishiguro
• 通讯作者: K. Ishiguro

国内秩序と国際秩序の《二重の再編》-政治的共存の秩序設計-

国内秩序与国际秩序的“双重重组”-政治共存的秩序设计-

• 发表时间: 2007
• 期刊: 国際法外交雑誌 105巻・4号
• 作者: KIMIYA;Takashi;石田 淳
• 通讯作者: 石田 淳

制度からガヴァナンスへ--社会科学における知の交差(河野勝編)

从制度到治理——社会科学知识的交叉点（河野胜主编）

• 发表时间: 2006
• 作者: 樋渡 由美;東京大学社会科学研究所編;石田 淳
• 通讯作者: 石田 淳

The Political Logic of Reciprocal Reconfiguration between Domestic and International Orders : Constitutional Orders for Political Coexistence

国内秩序与国际秩序相互重构的政治逻辑:政治共存的宪法秩序

• 期刊: The Journal of International Law and Diplomacy [Kokusaiho Gaiko Zasshi] Vol.105,No.4
• 作者: Hatayama;T.;栗原浩英;Hiroyuki Hoshiro;Atsushi Ishida
• 通讯作者: Atsushi Ishida

国内紛争後の政治改革への国際関与

国内冲突后国际社会参与政治改革

• 发表时间: 2007
• 期刊: 国際政治 第147号
• 作者: Toshihiro Ihori;Martin C. McGuire;M.Onoda;石黒馨
• 通讯作者: 石黒馨