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Modernization of Chinese Input-Output Structure

中国投入产出结构现代化

基本信息

批准号：
13630036
负责人：
IZUMI Hiroshi
金额：
$ 1.79万
依托单位：
Osaka University of Economics
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2001
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2001 至 2003
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-13630036/
关键词：
Chinese economy Input-Output Table Purchasing power parity Productivity Korean economy Price difference Chinese GDP Energy consumption efficiency エネルギー GTAPモデル自由貿易協定産業連関表日本経済

项目摘要

The main results of our research in this term consist of four contents. One, the estimation of the purchasing power of parities by industry between Japan and China and between Japan and Republic of Korea, and by using, them the conversion of Input-Output Tables of China and Republic of 'Korea into Japanese prices. Two, by using these input-output tables, the comparison of energy consumption efficiency between China and Japan, the decomposition of sectoral price differences between Japan and China and between Japan and Republic of Korea, and the analysis of productivity growth by industry in China. In the analysis of energy consumption efficiency, we carried out the simulation of the amount of energies required in China in the case it uses the energy-saving technology of Japan. In the analysis of price differences between Japan and China and between Japan and Republic of Korea, we decomposed them into productivity effect, input price effect and profit effect. In the analysis of productivity growth in China, we measured total factor productivity growth by industry for the two periods 1987-92 and 1992-97. Three, the study on the accuracy of Chinese GDP data. Prof.Rawski asserts Chinese GDP data and economic growth rate are overstated and unreliable. But on our analysis, though Chinese GDP data have some problems, they are becoming better, and Prof.Rawski's opinion is not correct. Four, we introduced GTAP model which is the globally highly regarded CGE model and as its application we analyzed the economic effects of free trade agreement among China, Korea and Japan.

本学期的主要研究成果包括四个方面的内容。第一，利用中国和韩国的投入产出表换算成日本的价格，推算日本与中国和日本与韩国的各产业的购买力平价。第二，利用这些投入产出表，对中日能源消费效率进行比较，对中日、日韩的部门价格差异进行分解，对中国各行业的生产率增长进行分析。在能源消耗效率分析中，我们对中国在采用日本节能技术的情况下所需的能源量进行了模拟。在分析中日、日韩价格差异时，我们将其分解为生产率效应、投入品价格效应和利润效应。在对中国生产率增长的分析中，我们测量了1987-92年和1992-97年两个时期各行业的全要素生产率增长。第三，中国GDP数据的准确性研究。罗斯基教授断言，中国的GDP数据和经济增长率被夸大了，也不可靠。但从我们的分析来看，中国的GDP数据虽然存在一些问题，但正在向好的方向发展，罗斯基教授的观点是不正确的。第四，介绍了GTAP模型这一全球公认的CGE模型，并应用该模型分析了中日韩自由贸易协定的经济效应。