Predicting the ecological and economic outcomes of trade

预测贸易的生态和经济成果

• 批准号: DP170104795
• 负责人: Prof Brendan Wintle
• 金额: $ 41.31万
• 依托单位: The University of Melbourne
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2017-05-29 至 2021-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP170104795
• 关键词: Predicting; ecological; economic; outcomes; trade

This project aims to understand and predict the effects of global trade on land use and biodiversity.Growth in international trade increases trade-mediated land-use by increasing demand for commodities directly or indirectly derived from the land. Accurate predictions of trade effects and opportunities would allow governments to maximise ecological and economic benefits and minimise effects through judicious planning and regulation, but such analyses do not exist. This project expects to advance trade policy evaluation by improving and integrating computable global equilibrium models and land-use and ecological models to better characterise consequences of trade.

该项目旨在了解和预测全球贸易对土地利用和生物多样性的影响。国际贸易的增长增加了对直接或间接来自土地的商品的需求，从而增加了以贸易为媒介的土地利用。对贸易影响和机会的准确预测将使政府能够通过明智的规划和监管实现生态和经济效益的最大化，并将影响最小化，但这样的分析并不存在。该项目希望通过改进和整合可计算的全球平衡模型以及土地利用和生态模型来更好地描述贸易后果，从而推动贸易政策评估。