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Which burglary security devices work for whom and in what context?

哪些防盗安全设备适用于谁以及在什么情况下使用？

基本信息

批准号：
ES/K003771/2
负责人：
Andromachi Tseloni
金额：
$ 15.76万
依托单位：
Loughborough University
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2013
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2013 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FK003771%2F2
关键词：
burglary security devices work whom

项目摘要

Domestic burglary is a high volume crime affecting many households. As well as substantial financial loss and damage to property, it causes high levels of anxiety about the possibility of being burgled. Surveys documenting public priorities about crime place burglary at the top. Burglar alarms and other security devices in principle deter potential burglars. Insurance premiums are discounted when a fully operating burglar alarm exists in the home due to claims about the effectiveness of burglar alarms and other security devices in the marketing literature, but no systematic research studies have been undertaken to assess their effectiveness in different areas, accommodation types and occupants' characteristics. The research proposed is precisely concerned with such an assessment. The primary research question is: Which burglary security devices work for whom and in what context?This study will identify the individual and combined security devices that offer cost-effective burglary protection to (a) the population in England and Wales overall; (b) specific population subgroups according to their socio-economic attributes; (c) the residents of Wales, each of the nine English regions and area types according to population socio-demographic profile and density; and (d) area types and population subgroups plausible combinations. The urgency to gain insights about the cost-effectiveness of burglary devices for tailor-made preventive interventions cannot be exaggerated: at a time of massive public spending cuts and declining disposable incomes the latest Home Office figures show a 14% annual increase in domestic burglary in 2010/11 after an extended (fifteen years) period of falls (Chaplin et al. 2011). The Department for Communities and Local Government (2012) has recently highlighted the need of research evidence on cost-effective burglary security devices to inform the on-going deliberation on national building regulation for minimum standards for security in homes.The proposed research will: -Make a major scientific contribution with immediate and high societal and economic impact. Its theoretical and methodological advancements will inform future research developments in criminology. The current gap in knowledge impedes cost-effective burglary prevention not just in the UK but across the world at a time that wasteful financial decisions are unaffordable. -Engage throughout with high level research users in the public sector and civil society organisations and inform national and international guidelines on burglary prevention. The research results will be regularly conveyed to users in the private sector (the security and insurance industry) who however will not contribute to their development to avoid conflict of interest. -Analyse two decades of a formidable existing data source, the British Crime Survey (BCS). The BCS is a large and complex dataset with currently some 40,000 respondents annually that exists in the public domain, and has been run for three decades. Yet, relative to both data generation cost and its impeccable quality, it has been extremely under-explored. -Employ innovative research techniques for the deeper exploitation of the BCS, including the Security Impact Assessment Tool, pioneered by the co-applicants with ESRC support to assess the effectiveness of car security devices, as well as the multivariate multilevel logit modelling, to investigate the effect of context on trends of related crime types. -Build the national skills base in the analysis of large and complex datasets and expand the limited secondary data analysis capacity in criminology via actively seeking to employ a full time researcher from disciplines (mathematics, statistics, sciences or engineering) beyond traditional BCS users.Therefore the proposed research fits the ESRC-SDAI call specification. The co-applicants' theoretical, methodological and policy contribution to date ensure its successful delivery.

家庭盗窃是一种影响许多家庭的高数量犯罪。除了大量的经济损失和财产损失外，它还引起了人们对被盗可能性的高度焦虑。记录公众对犯罪的优先考虑的调查将入室盗窃排在首位。防盗警报器和其他安全装置原则上可以阻止潜在的窃贼。由于市场宣传资料声称防盗警报器和其他保安装置有效，但没有进行系统的研究，以评估它们在不同地区、住所类型和居住者特征方面的有效性，因此，如果家中有一个完全运作的防盗警报器，保险费就会打折。拟议的研究正是与这种评估有关。主要的研究问题是：哪些防盗安全设备为谁工作，在什么情况下？这项研究将确定为以下人群提供具有成本效益的防盗保护的单独和组合安全装置：（a）英格兰和威尔士的全体人口;（B）根据其社会经济属性划分的特定人口亚群;（c）根据人口社会人口概况和密度划分的英格兰九个地区和地区类型中的每一个的威尔士居民;和（d）地区类型和人口亚组的合理组合。了解针对量身定制的预防性干预措施的入室盗窃装置的成本效益的紧迫性不能被夸大：在大规模削减公共开支和可支配收入下降的时候，最新的内政部数据显示，在经过一段长时间（15年）的福尔斯下降之后，2010/11年度的入室盗窃率每年增加14%（卓别林等人，2011年）。社区和地方政府部（2012年）最近强调，有必要对具有成本效益的防盗安全装置进行研究，以告知正在进行的关于国家建筑法规的审议，以确定家庭安全的最低标准。其理论和方法的进步将为犯罪学未来的研究发展提供信息。目前的知识差距阻碍了具有成本效益的防盗措施，不仅在英国，而且在世界各地，浪费的财务决策是负担不起的。- 始终与公共部门和民间社会组织的高级别研究用户接触，并为国家和国际预防入室盗窃准则提供信息。研究结果将定期传达给私营部门（安全和保险业）的用户，但他们不会为他们的发展做出贡献，以避免利益冲突。- 分析20年来强大的现有数据来源，英国犯罪调查（BCS）。BCS是一个庞大而复杂的数据集，目前每年约有40，000名受访者存在于公共领域，并且已经运行了三十年。然而，相对于数据生成成本和无可挑剔的质量，它一直是非常不足的探索。- 采用创新的研究技术，更深入地利用BCS，包括安全影响评估工具，该工具由共同申请人在ESRC的支持下开发，用于评估汽车安全装置的有效性，以及多变量多级logit建模，以调查背景对相关犯罪类型趋势的影响。- 通过积极寻求雇用传统BCS用户之外的学科（数学，统计，科学或工程）的全职研究人员，建立分析大型复杂数据集的国家技能基础，并扩大犯罪学中有限的二级数据分析能力。因此，拟议的研究符合ESRC-SDAI调用规范。迄今为止，共同申请人在理论、方法和政策方面的贡献确保了其成功交付。