Econometric Analysis of Cigarette Purchases on Native American Reservations

美洲原住民保留地卷烟购买的计量经济学分析

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    9308511
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    美国
  • 项目类别:
  • 财政年份:
    2017
  • 资助国家:
    美国
  • 起止时间:
    2017-04-15 至 2020-02-29
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

PROJECT SUMMARY Cigarette taxation is a widely used tobacco control policy that can improve public health by discouraging smoking. Due to their legal status, Native American reservations (NARs) and First Nations reserves are important sources of lower- or un-taxed cigarettes in the U.S. and Canada. In some geographic areas and times, the prevalence of NAR purchases reaches over 40%. Data from the 2010-11 Tobacco Use Supplements to the Current Population Survey implies that 5.6 million smokers live in 7 states where the prevalence of NAR purchases is between 15% and 35%. The policy trend towards higher cigarette taxes means that tax avoidance through NARs is likely to grow substantially. The 2014 Surgeon General's Report, the CDC (2015), and the National Research Council Institute of Medicine (2015) stress the public health significance of, and need for additional research into, contraband cigarette markets including NARs. The project's broad goal is to study the impact of NAR cigarette availability on smoking, birth outcomes, and health disparities. Aim 1 is to conduct a quasi-experimental analysis of the impact of the availability of NAR cigarettes on adult smoking participation. We will analyze individual-level data on smoking from multiple large U.S. and Canada secondary data sets. Our econometric specification will test 4 hypotheses: 1) that state cigarette excise taxes reduce adult smoking; 2) that the impact of taxes on smoking varies depending upon the availability of NAR cigarettes; 3) that the availability of NAR cigarettes has a causal treatment effect to increase smoking; and 4) that the impacts of taxes and NAR cigarette availability on adult smoking varies with socioeconomic status. Aim 2 is to conduct a quasi-experimental analysis of the impact of the availability of NAR cigarettes on youth smoking participation, cigarettes smoked per day, and smoking initiation. We will test the 4 hypotheses listed under Aim 1 in the context of youth smoking. Aim 3 is to conduct a quasi-experimental analysis of the impact of the availability of NAR cigarettes on health outcomes and health disparities. We will test the 4 hypotheses listed under Aim 1 in the context of health outcomes. Aim 4 is to conduct a quasi-experimental analysis of the indirect effects of the availability of reservation cigarettes on the prices charged by off-reservation cigarette retailers. Our econometric analysis will test whether cigarette sales on nearby NARs is associated with lower cigarette prices and sales off-reservation. Aim 5 is to conduct a more structural econometric analysis of the impact of the availability of NAR cigarettes on individuals' joint decisions about smoking, purchase location, and cigarette price paid. We will estimate a structural endogenous switching regression model. The estimated model will directly estimate key mechanisms or links in the chain of causality: the impact of taxes and distance on the probability of NAR purchases; and the impact of NAR purchases on cigarette prices paid. X
项目摘要 烟草税是一项广泛使用的烟草控制政策,可以通过阻止吸烟来改善公共健康。 smoking.由于其法律的地位,美洲原住民保留地和第一民族保留地 是美国和加拿大低税或免税香烟的重要来源。在某些地理区域, 次,NAR购买的流行率达到40%以上。2010-11年烟草使用补充剂数据 当前人口调查表明,560万吸烟者生活在NAR流行的7个州, 购买率在15%到35%之间。提高卷烟税的政策趋势意味着, 通过NARs避税的情况可能会大幅增加。2014年卫生部长报告,CDC(2015), 和国家医学研究理事会研究所(2015年)强调了公共卫生的重要性, 需要对包括NARs在内的违禁香烟市场进行更多的研究。该项目的总体目标是 研究NAR香烟供应对吸烟,出生结果和健康差异的影响。 目的1是对NAR香烟的可用性对成人的影响进行准实验分析, 吸烟参与。我们将分析来自美国和加拿大多个大城市的个人吸烟数据。 二级数据集。我们的计量经济学规范将测试4个假设:1)国家卷烟消费税 减少成人吸烟; 2)税收对吸烟的影响取决于NAR的可用性 香烟; 3)NAR香烟的可用性具有增加吸烟的因果治疗效果;以及4) 税收和NAR香烟供应对成年人吸烟的影响因社会经济地位而异。 目的2是进行准实验分析NAR香烟对青少年的影响 吸烟参与、每天吸烟量和开始吸烟。我们将测试列出的4个假设 在目标1下,针对青年吸烟问题。目标3是对影响进行准实验分析 NAR香烟的可用性对健康结果和健康差异的影响。我们将测试这四个假设。 在健康成果方面,目标1所列的目标。目的4是进行准实验分析, 预订卷烟的可获得性对非预订卷烟价格的间接影响 零售商我们的计量经济学分析将测试附近NAR的卷烟销售是否与较低的 香烟价格和销售的保留。目标5是对全球经济进行结构性的计量经济学分析, NAR香烟的可用性对个人关于吸烟,购买地点, 香烟的价格。我们将估计一个结构性内生转换回归模型。估计 模型将直接估计因果关系链中的关键机制或环节:税收和距离的影响 购买NAR的可能性;以及购买NAR对卷烟价格的影响。 X

项目成果

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Donald S. Kenkel其他文献

Introduction to the Special Section on Tobacco Harm Reduction
  • DOI:
    10.1007/s10603-024-09577-8
  • 发表时间:
    2024-10-19
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    1.600
  • 作者:
    Alan D. Mathios;Donald S. Kenkel
  • 通讯作者:
    Donald S. Kenkel
On valuing morbidity, cost-effectiveness analysis, and being rude.
关于评估发病率、成本效益分析和粗鲁。
  • DOI:
    10.1016/s0167-6296(97)00027-1
  • 发表时间:
    1997
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    3.5
  • 作者:
    Donald S. Kenkel
  • 通讯作者:
    Donald S. Kenkel

Donald S. Kenkel的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Donald S. Kenkel', 18)}}的其他基金

Econometric Research on Regulating Menthol Cigarettes and Smoking Cessation
薄荷醇卷烟监管与戒烟的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    8910679
  • 财政年份:
    2014
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Econometric Research on Regulating Menthol Cigarettes and Smoking Cessation
薄荷醇卷烟监管与戒烟的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    8681812
  • 财政年份:
    2014
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Substance Abuse Research at the 2010 AHSEcon Conference
2010 年 AHSEcon 会议上的药物滥用研究
  • 批准号:
    7915011
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Econometric Study of the Impact of Smoking Bans on Consumer Behavior
禁烟令对消费者行为影响的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    7754062
  • 财政年份:
    2009
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Econometric Study of the Impact of Smoking Bans on Consumer Behavior
禁烟令对消费者行为影响的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    7586415
  • 财政年份:
    2009
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
An Econometric Analysis of Cigarette Price Search and Tax Incidence
卷烟价格搜索和税收发生率的计量经济学分析
  • 批准号:
    7693801
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
An Econometric Analysis of Cigarette Price Search and Tax Incidence
卷烟价格搜索和税收发生率的计量经济学分析
  • 批准号:
    7529752
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Econometric Study of Schooling, Information, and Smoking
学校教育、信息和吸烟的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    7522462
  • 财政年份:
    2006
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Econometric Study of Schooling, Information, and Smoking
学校教育、信息和吸烟的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    7232375
  • 财政年份:
    2006
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:
Econometric Study of Schooling, Information, and Smoking
学校教育、信息和吸烟的计量经济学研究
  • 批准号:
    7091878
  • 财政年份:
    2006
  • 资助金额:
    $ 23.12万
  • 项目类别:

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