Population Ageing and National Housing Demand in Australia

澳大利亚人口老龄化与国民住房需求。该项目旨在确定人口老龄化对澳大利亚住房需求的可能影响。一项针对美国的开创性研究预测，由于人口老龄化，未来二三十年内，住房的相对需求将大幅下降，因此房价将大幅下降。如果这种情况发生在澳大利亚，可能会对个人财富、国民储蓄率、就业和经济福利产生重大影响。这个问题将通过扩展两种不同类型的模型来解决--最优国民储蓄的分析模型和住房需求的计量经济学模型。

Population Ageing and National Housing Demand in Australia. This project seeks to determine the likely impact of population ageing on the demand for housing in Australia. A seminal study for the U.S. predicted that the relative demand for, and therefore price of, housing will fall substantially in the next two or three decades due to population ageing. If this were to occur in Australia, it could have a significant impact on personal wealth, the national saving rate, employment and economic welfare. This question will be addressed by extending two different types of models - an analytical model of optimal national saving and an econometric model of housing demand.