Inflow forecasting in Yukon under current and changing climate conditions

当前和变化的气候条件下育空地区的流入预测

• 批准号: 499954-2016
• 负责人: Rousseau, Alain
• 金额: $ 8.95万
• 依托单位: Institut national de la recherche scientifique
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2017-01-01 至 2018-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=618078
• 关键词: Inflow; forecasting; Yukon; under; current

The objective of this project is to implement a distributed hydrological modeling system on key watersheds ofthe Yukon Energy Corporation (YEC). This system will be used for operational reservoir-inflow forecastingwith different lead times (e.g., 1-14 days) as well as seasonal and long-term planning. Long-term planning willuse the modeling system to predict impacts of climate change on inflow availability, inflow timing and extremeevents. The results will provide strategic information for the assessment of potential energy projects to supplyYukon with enough electricity to meet projected demands. Understanding climate change and associatedeffects will be useful to other processes such as relicensing activities. For example, the water license for theAishihik Hydroelectric Facility will come up for renewal on December 31, 2019. In anticipation for thisrenewal, YEC is undertaking a four-year process of environmental and engineering studies, consulting withmajor stakeholders. This will follow a structured decision-making process to understand operationalalternatives for the renewed license to submit to the Yukon Environmental and Socio-economic AssessmentBoard for assessment, then to the Yukon Water Board for licensing.

本项目的目标是在育空地区能源公司（YEC）的主要流域实施分布式水文模拟系统。该系统将用于不同提前时间（例如，1-14天）以及季节性和长期规划。长期规划将使用建模系统来预测气候变化对流入可用性、流入时间和极端事件的影响。研究结果将为评估可能的能源项目提供战略信息，以便为育空地区提供足够的电力，满足预计的需求。了解气候变化及其相关影响将有助于其他过程，如再授权活动。例如，Aishihik水电站的用水许可证将于2019年12月31日更新。为了迎接这次更新，YEC正在进行一项为期四年的环境和工程研究，并与主要利益相关者进行磋商。这将遵循一个结构化的决策过程，以了解更新许可证的操作替代方案，提交给育空地区环境和社会经济评估委员会进行评估，然后提交给育空地区水务委员会进行许可。