Inflow forecasting in Yukon under current and changing climate conditions

该项目的目标是在育空能源公司（YEC）的关键流域实施分布式水文建模系统。此系统可用于不同预期（例如1至14天）的实际水库流入预测**，以及季节性和长期规划。长期规划将使用建模系统来预测气候变化对流入可用性、流入时间和极端事件的影响。研究结果将为评估潜在的能源项目提供战略信息，为育空地区提供足够的电力以满足预计需求。了解气候变化及其相关影响将有助于其他进程，如重新发放许可证活动。例如，**Aishihik水电设施的用水许可证将于2019年12月31日到期。为了这次更新，YEC正在进行为期四年的环境和工程研究，并咨询了**主要利益相关者。这将遵循一个结构化的决策过程，以了解更新许可证的操作方案，并将其提交给育空地区环境和社会经济评估委员会进行评估，然后提交给育空地区水局进行许可。

The objective of this project is to implement a distributed hydrological modeling system on key watersheds of**the Yukon Energy Corporation (YEC). This system will be used for operational reservoir-inflow forecasting**with different lead times (e.g., 1-14 days) as well as seasonal and long-term planning. Long-term planning will**use the modeling system to predict impacts of climate change on inflow availability, inflow timing and extreme**events. The results will provide strategic information for the assessment of potential energy projects to supply**Yukon with enough electricity to meet projected demands. Understanding climate change and associated**effects will be useful to other processes such as relicensing activities. For example, the water license for the**Aishihik Hydroelectric Facility will come up for renewal on December 31, 2019. In anticipation for this**renewal, YEC is undertaking a four-year process of environmental and engineering studies, consulting with**major stakeholders. This will follow a structured decision-making process to understand operational**alternatives for the renewed license to submit to the Yukon Environmental and Socio-economic Assessment**Board for assessment, then to the Yukon Water Board for licensing.