Perceptions of the Past, Present, and the Future: A Survey of the Iraqi Public

SES-0433773东密歇根大学曼苏尔·莫德尔大学伊拉克国家的迅速崩溃导致了该国新的社会状况。这个项目考察了这些条件对伊拉克公众世界观的影响。它将：(1)探索当前政治不确定、经济困难和社会紧张局势下伊拉克公众世界观的主要特征和长期关切；(2)考察这些世界观与可获得调查数据的邻国伊斯兰公众世界观的异同；(3)调查伊拉克人在未来几年如何评估、反思和重新形成他们对自我和他人的概念；(4)考察这些态度与中间层社会机构、基于种族和宗教的组织、临时当局和统治精英之间的互动关系；(5)探讨新的政治发展如何削弱/加强世俗女权主义和女性认同的发展；以及(6)根据伊斯兰世界现有的比较历史文化分析，确定可能阻碍/促进(A)阿拉伯民族主义的兴起、(B)伊拉克领土民族主义/超部落民族主义、(C)泛伊斯兰民族主义和(D)部落民族主义/族裔认同的进程。为了解决这些问题，PI计划在未来六年内每两年在该国进行一次国家价值观调查。这笔资金支持这三项调查中的第一项。这项研究具有重大的潜在更广泛的影响。例如，通过这次调查获得的对伊拉克社会的了解将有助于制定政策，增进美国和伊拉克公众之间的了解，并为建立后萨达姆民主政体提供对伊拉克社会的洞察。该项目还将对社会科学研究社会转型、国家形成、外国占领、文化发展和身份形成之间的关系产生深远影响。

SES-0433773 Mansoor Moaddel Eastern Michigan University The swift breakdown of the Iraqi State has resulted in new social conditions in the country. This project examines the effect of these conditions on the worldviews of the Iraqi public. It will: (1) explore key features of the worldviews and the long-term concerns of the Iraqi public under the current conditions of political uncertainty, economic difficulties, and social tensions; (2) examine similarities and differences between these worldviews and those of the Islamic publics of the neighboring countries where survey data are available; (3) investigate how Iraqis assess, rethink, and re-form their conceptions of self and others in the coming years; (4) examine how these attitudes are related to the interaction among the middle-layer social institutions, ethnic- and religious-based organizations, provisional authority and ruling elite; (5) explore how new political developments may weaken/strengthen the development of secular feminism and female identity; and (6) identify, in light of the existing comparative historical analyses of culture in the Islamic world, the processes that may hinder/promote (a) the rise of Arab nationalism, (b) Iraqi territorial nationalism/supra-tribal nationalism, (c) pan-Islamic nationalism, and (d) tribal nationalism/ethnic identity. To address these issues, the PI plans to conduct a national values survey in the country every two years over the next six years. This funding supports of the first of these three surveys. The study has significant potential broader impacts. For example, knowledge of Iraqi society gained by this survey will be a useful contribution to policy making, enhance understanding between the American and Iraqi publics, and provide insights into Iraqi society necessary for building a post-Saddam democratic polity. This project will also have far-reaching implications for the social-scientific study of the relationships among social transformation, state formation, foreign occupation, and the development of culture and identity formation.